Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:14:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0B
0x0b79…e5d8
sports · 396 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,043 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,038 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$200
Realized−$1,038
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses199 / 186
Est. fees paid−$62
Open positions8
Markets (closed)385 / 396
History coverage159d
Avg bet$27
Trades / day3.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 8 History 385 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$71
7 days−$99
14 days−$283
30 days−$336
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 42¢ 42¢ $50 $51 +$1 (+1%)
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Scotland 40¢ 40¢ $50 $49 −$1 (-1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Under 30¢ 30¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-2%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+2%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Under 56¢ 56¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Spread: Morocco (-1.5) Morocco 5¢ 4¢ $15 $14 −$2 (-10%)
Will Cody Gakpo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 6¢ 4¢ $10 $7 −$3 (-31%)
Magic vs. Pistons Magic 24¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-03? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 3.5 Over 30¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-05-15? Yes 43¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Timberwolves vs. Spurs Spurs 77¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-05-02? Yes 47¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 KT Rolster 61¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
England vs. New Zealand: O/U 3.5 Over 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
76ers vs. Celtics Celtics 81¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 Over 52¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 Over 64¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 80¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5 Over 60¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Elche CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5 Over 62¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-17? Yes 39¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Thunder Spurs 37¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $50 −$31 -62%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $100 −$65 -64%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $20 −$19 -97%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $20 −$15 -77%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06- Jun 12 $20 +$60 +291%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $100 +$40 +40%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $30 +$8 +26%
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $20 +$6 +31%
Spread: England (-1.5) Jun 10 $100 +$51 +51%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 10 $20 +$7 +37%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 3.5 Jun 08 $30 +$17 +57%
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 1.5 Jun 08 $25 +$25 +101%
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07? Jun 08 $50 +$8 +16%
Jordan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $100 −$98 -98%
Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $50 −$49 -98%
Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $20 −$19 -97%
Spread: Croatia (-1.5) Jun 07 $50 −$49 -97%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $20 +$23 +116%
England vs. New Zealand: O/U 3.5 Jun 06 $20 −$9 -42%
England vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $20 −$20 -98%
United States vs. Germany: O/U 3.5 Jun 06 $50 −$49 -98%
Spread: Belgium (-1.5) Jun 06 $20 +$25 +125%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 05 $78 −$76 -98%
Spread: Spurs (-3.5) Jun 03 $50 −$49 -98%
Will Albania win on 2026-06-03? Jun 03 $10 −$9 -93%
Spread: Italy (-1.5) Jun 03 $20 −$2 -8%
Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5 Jun 03 $10 −$10 -97%
Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 Jun 03 $20 −$20 -98%
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-03? Jun 03 $20 −$20 -98%
Philippines vs. Guam: O/U 3.5 Jun 03 $20 +$15 +72%
Morocco vs. Madagascar: O/U 3.5 Jun 02 $20 +$8 +38%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-02? Jun 02 $10 +$5 +46%
Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5 Jun 01 $5 +$8 +158%
Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5 Jun 01 $15 +$9 +62%
Will Japan win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $10 +$10 +97%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $51 −$50 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET May 27 $5 $0 +4%
Knicks vs. Cavaliers May 27 $10 +$7 +72%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 24 $20 −$19 -97%
Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5 May 24 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET May 21 $5 $0 +5%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20? May 21 $20 +$13 +66%
Cavaliers vs. Knicks May 20 $38 +$17 +44%
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $10 −$10 -98%
Elche CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5 May 17 $10 −$10 -99%
Spurs vs. Timberwolves May 16 $10 +$5 +50%
Pistons vs. Cavaliers May 16 $11 +$13 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET May 15 $12 +$1 +11%
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-05-15? May 15 $10 −$10 -98%
FC Cincinnati vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5 May 15 $10 +$8 +83%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 57% −$1,012
other 31% −$175
crypto 8% +$94
finance 2% −$71
world 1% +$120
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 40¢ $51 47m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 42¢ $51 48m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 56¢ $20 49m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 30¢ $31 49m
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $20 51m
Spread: Morocco (-1.5) BUY Morocco 5¢ $15 52m
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) SELL Switzerland 24¢ $19 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 23¢ $35 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? A BUY 33¢ $20 10h
Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 6¢ $10 10h
Will Cody Gakpo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $10 10h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-1 BUY 54¢ $51 10h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a BUY 15¢ $10 10h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 62¢ $100 11h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 61¢ $50 11h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 41¢ $20 25h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 13¢ $5 25h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $20 34h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06- BUY 25¢ $20 2d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 69¢ $10 2d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 83¢ $20 2d
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 70¢ $100 2d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $20 3d
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 75¢ $20 3d
Spread: England (-1.5) BUY England 65¢ $100 3d
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 63¢ $30 5d
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 48¢ $25 5d
Jordan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 66¢ $100 6d
Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 52¢ $50 6d
Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 30¢ $20 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-14.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 +3.5% -6.3% 56% 56% -20.5%
≤30d 50 -7.6% -16.4% 52% 48% -30.2%
≤90d 304 -11.2% -19.6% 51% 48% -21.1%
all 385 -5.5% -14.5% 52% 49% -18.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.5% 49% -18.7%
10% -22.7% 43% -26.4%
15% -30.2% 35% -33.6%
20% -37.0% 28% -40.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $200.22 · official $280.22 · 828 history records