Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T12:25:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0B
0x0b72…dc2e
crypto · 461 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,453 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,526 · open +$74
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$134
Realized−$1,526
Unrealized+$74
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses257 / 274
Open positions3
Markets (closed)531 / 461
History coverage17d
Avg bet$44
Trades / day176.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 531 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$569
7 days−$652
14 days−$1,487
30 days−$1,526
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 13? Yes 38¢ 100¢ $25 $65 +$40 (+163%)
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C or higher on June 13? Yes 23¢ 55¢ $22 $54 +$31 (+142%)
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 13? Yes 37¢ 42¢ $14 $16 +$2 (+13%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 1? No 94¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 6? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 10? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 7? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1? Yes 93¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 10? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on June 11? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 5? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 7? Yes 44¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$10 -130%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$5 -2601%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$3 -1351%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$4 -1775%
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 87% −$520
weather 13% −$400
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 13? BUY Yes 37¢ $14 24m
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C or higher on June 13? BUY Yes 25¢ $3 34m
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C or higher on June 13? BUY Yes 25¢ $7 43m
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C or higher on June 13? BUY Yes 21¢ $12 46m
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 13? BUY Yes 30¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 13? BUY Yes 34¢ $5 6h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 13? BUY Yes 38¢ $2 7h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 13? BUY Yes 40¢ $4 7h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 13? BUY Yes 39¢ $15 7h
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 12? BUY Yes 20¢ $1 21h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on June 11? BUY Yes 24¢ $11 37h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on June 11? BUY Yes 37¢ $5 37h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on June 11? BUY Yes 42¢ $3 38h
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on June 11? BUY No 86¢ $14 39h
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on June 11? BUY No 85¢ $15 39h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on June 11? BUY Yes 30¢ $15 39h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on June 11? BUY Yes 21¢ $15 39h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on June 11? BUY Yes 22¢ $15 40h
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on June 11? BUY Yes 38¢ $7 46h
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on June 11? BUY Yes 39¢ $7 46h
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on June 11? BUY Yes 39¢ $0 46h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 11? SELL Yes 11¢ $1 46h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 11? SELL Yes 10¢ $4 46h
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on June 11? SELL Yes 41¢ $1 46h
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on June 11? SELL Yes 41¢ $6 46h
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on June 11? SELL Yes 41¢ $6 46h
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on June 11? SELL Yes 41¢ $5 46h
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on June 11? SELL Yes 41¢ $5 46h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on June 11? SELL No 100¢ $32 46h
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on June 11? SELL Yes 41¢ $3 46h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-29.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 144 -57.1% -61.1% 21% 18% -40.3%
≤30d 531 -22.5% -29.9% 48% 24% -16.3%
≤90d 531 -22.5% -29.9% 48% 24% -16.3%
all 531 -22.5% -29.9% 48% 24% -16.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover176.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -29.9% 24% -16.3%
10% ← realistic here -36.6% 9% -24.4%
15% -42.7% 7% -31.7%
20% -48.3% 4% -38.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $134.33 · official $134.33 (match) · 3500 history records