Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T02:21:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4.5
score
0B 0x0b5d…1f6e other 3 markets active 2h ago coverage 13d
RISKYcopy with care ⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge
Total PnL +$592 (+269%) realized +$592 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +130% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +108% what you keep after slip
Net edge+108%after slip
Net WR33%break-even
Win rate33%1W / 2L
Drawdown20%max
Avg bet$73per market
Trades / day0.4pace
Kalshi-fit0%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 13d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
other 100% +$487
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)+107.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 3 +129.7% +107.8% 33% 33% +190.3%
≤90d 3 +129.7% +107.8% 33% 33% +190.3%
all 3 +129.7% +107.8% 33% 33% +190.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +107.8% 33% +190.3%
10% +87.9% 33% +162.5%
15% +69.8% 33% +137.2%
20% +53.1% 33% +113.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 100% · top 2 100% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +221% too few recent
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +130% · $-wt +221% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$604 vs −$59 · ×10.27 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×5.13 per $1 lost it wins $5.13
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

13d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$592
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses1 / 2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)3 / 3
History coverage13d
Avg bet$73
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown20%
Kalshi-fit0%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 3 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27? Jun 28 $102 −$102 -100%
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26? Jun 27 $15 −$15 -100%
Will Justin Gaethje win by KO or TKO? Jun 15 $103 +$604 +589%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27? BUY Yes 24¢ $102 1h
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26? BUY Yes 2¢ $10 24h
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26? BUY Yes 3¢ $5 24h
Will Justin Gaethje win by KO or TKO? SELL Yes 99¢ $707 12d
Will Justin Gaethje win by KO or TKO? BUY Yes 14¢ $103 12d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 8 history records