Wallet analysis

2026-06-21T07:31:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
0B 0x0b5b…0f39 crypto 51 markets active 2h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (78 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! concentrated profit (few bets)
Total PnL +$19 (+4%) realized +$19 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -21% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -39% what you keep after slip
Net edge-39%after slip
Net WR41%break-even
Win rate45%23W / 28L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$9per market
Trades / day78.1pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit96%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$62
sports 1% −$1
other 1% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (78 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-28.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 51 -21.1% -28.6% 45% 41% -22.4%
≤30d 51 -21.1% -28.6% 45% 41% -22.4%
≤90d 51 -21.1% -28.6% 45% 41% -22.4%
all 51 -21.1% -28.6% 45% 41% -22.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover78.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -28.6% 41% -22.4%
10% ← realistic here -35.4% 25% -29.9%
15% -41.7% 20% -36.6%
20% -47.4% 16% -42.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 35% · top 2 48% concentrated in a few bets
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -14% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
4% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -21% · $-wt -14% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -9% → late -33% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$5 · ×0.68 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.56 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$19
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses23 / 28
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)51 / 51
History coverage1d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day78.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 51 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 21 $20 −$19 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 21 $32 −$30 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 21 $41 −$16 -39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 21 $21 +$27 +130%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 21 $20 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 21 $17 +$3 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 21 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 21 $22 +$6 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 21 $41 +$8 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 21 $31 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 21 $41 +$5 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 21 $41 +$4 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 21 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 21 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 21 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 21 $4 +$2 +59%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 21 $5 +$2 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 21 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 21 $1 +$1 +64%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 21 $2 $0 -21%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 21 $1 $0 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 21 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 21 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 21 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 21 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 21 $2 +$10 +484%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 21 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 21 $3 +$2 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 20 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 20 $2 +$1 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +24%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 20 $1 +$1 +72%
Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 20 $3 −$1 -22%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? Jun 20 $2 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 20 $4 −$4 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 20 $2 −$1 -30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 20 $1 +$1 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $21 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Up 63¢ $49 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $11 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $42 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET SELL Down 100¢ $28 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $27 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET SELL Down 68¢ $22 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $21 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $24 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $22 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $21 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 129 history records