Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T17:49:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
0B 0x0b5a…1457 sports 301 markets active 20h ago coverage 33d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 33d only
✗ bot/MM pace (97 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$15,157 (+5%) realized +$15,157 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR34%break-even
Win rate68%204W / 97L
Whale WR84%big bets
Drawdown44%max
Avg bet$978per market
Trades / day97.3pace
Fees−$2,222est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$650
7 days+$6,980
14 days+$9,040
30 days+$8,084
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% +$9,236
other 0% +$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (97 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-14.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 125 -2.0% -11.4% 73% 37% -4.6%
≤30d 284 -6.8% -15.7% 67% 34% -6.6%
≤90d 301 -5.5% -14.5% 68% 34% -6.3%
all 301 -5.5% -14.5% 68% 34% -6.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover97.3 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.5% 34% -6.3%
10% -22.7% 19% -15.3%
15% ← realistic here -30.2% 10% -23.5%
20% -37.0% 6% -31.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
50% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt +4% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR 84% (≥$1,174) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -4% → late -7% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
6.7 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$106 vs −$128 · ×0.83 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.75 per $1 lost it wins $1.75
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

33d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$15,157
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses204 / 97
Whale WR (big bets)84%
Est. fees paid−$2,222
Open positions0
Markets (closed)301 / 301
History coverage33d ⚠
Avg bet$978
Trades / day97.3
Drawdown44%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 301 Trades
no open positions (51 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? Jun 17 $80 +$20 +24%
Spread: Belgium (-1.5) Jun 15 $59 +$3 +5%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 15 $581 +$101 +17%
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 3 Winner Jun 15 $708 +$65 +9%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 15 $544 +$118 +22%
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 2 Winner Jun 15 $1,241 +$294 +24%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 15 $104 +$49 +47%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 15 $359 +$32 +9%
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Sta Jun 15 $86 +$14 +17%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 15 $268 +$124 +46%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 15 $302 +$77 +25%
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 15 $714 +$36 +5%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Jun 15 $449 −$12 -3%
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 15 $1,793 +$221 +12%
Rainbow Six Siege: LOS vs LOUD (BO1) - South America League Stage 1 Gr Jun 14 $842 −$56 -7%
Rainbow Six Siege: Black Dragons e-Sports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO1) - Jun 14 $302 +$7 +2%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo Jun 14 $796 +$542 +68%
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $3,924 +$310 +8%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $129 +$40 +31%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $40 −$40 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $136 −$133 -98%
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $108 +$6 +6%
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $1,174 +$12 +1%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $3 −$2 -97%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $135 −$132 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $1,971 +$29 +2%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $4,951 +$44 +1%
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $2,695 +$425 +16%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $51 −$50 -98%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $1,794 +$282 +16%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $5,019 +$148 +3%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner Jun 14 $340 +$323 +95%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $283 −$280 -99%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $765 +$115 +15%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $805 −$687 -85%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P Jun 13 $1,391 +$239 +17%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $353 +$150 +43%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $146 +$78 +54%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $166 −$164 -99%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $250 +$44 +18%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $1,107 +$74 +7%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $1,162 +$38 +3%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $165 −$81 -49%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $1,558 −$58 -4%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $69 +$24 +34%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $600 +$320 +53%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $461 −$179 -39%
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $2,898 +$116 +4%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $340 +$10 +3%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $911 +$89 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 80¢ $80 19h
Spread: Belgium (-1.5) BUY Egypt 95¢ $59 45h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 81¢ $202 45h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 77¢ $192 45h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 58¢ $144 45h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 42¢ $21 45h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 42¢ $85 45h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 68¢ $2 45h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 68¢ $117 45h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 68¢ $34 45h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 68¢ $17 45h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 68¢ $6 45h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 68¢ $49 45h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 68¢ $2 45h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 56¢ $142 45h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 55¢ $46 45h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 44¢ $110 46h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 37¢ $94 46h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL G2 70¢ $121 46h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL G2 70¢ $0 46h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL G2 70¢ $4 46h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL G2 70¢ $399 46h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 47¢ $119 46h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 62¢ $30 46h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 62¢ $3 46h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 62¢ $3 46h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 62¢ $120 46h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 66¢ $167 46h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL G2 55¢ $39 47h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL G2 55¢ $39 47h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records