Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:43:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0B
0x0b56…1669
crypto · 490 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$493 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$493 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized−$493
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses218 / 273
Open positions0
Markets (closed)491 / 490
History coverage3d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day328.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 491 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$631
7 days−$494
14 days−$494
30 days−$494
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 94¢ 100¢ $8 $8 +$1 (+6%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$5 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $29 +$7 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$6 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $43 −$13 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$4 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $28 −$6 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$5 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $49 −$22 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$6 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$5 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$4 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $27 −$5 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$5 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $55 +$17 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$9 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$7 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $57 −$34 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$23 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$10 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$7 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$27 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$6 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$5 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$9 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$9 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$5 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$8 +93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$494
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $8 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $8 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $8 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $12 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $9 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $8 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $8 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $9 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $9 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $8 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $8 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $8 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $8 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $9 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $9 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $10 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $8 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $8 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $8 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-15.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 491 -6.3% -15.2% 44% 39% -13.5%
≤30d 491 -6.3% -15.2% 44% 39% -13.5%
≤90d 491 -6.3% -15.2% 44% 39% -13.5%
all 491 -6.3% -15.2% 44% 39% -13.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover328.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.2% 39% -13.5%
10% ← realistic here -23.3% 33% -21.7%
15% -30.7% 25% -29.3%
20% -37.5% 20% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.43 · official $8.43 (match) · 3500 history records