Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:59:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0B
0x0b52…8aa4
sports · 80 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,610 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,610 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Net worth$114
Realized−$1,610
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses27 / 50
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions3
Markets (closed)77 / 80
History coverage183d
Avg bet$228
Trades / day2.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit72%
Chart Positions 3 History 77 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$57
7 days−$57
14 days−$57
30 days−$57
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 81¢ $100 $101 +$1 (+1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes $5 $5 −$0 (-7%)
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffs DRX Challengers 58¢ $131 $0 −$131 (-100%)
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? No $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers 88¢ $88 $0 −$88 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Anyones Legend $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO? Yes 28¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: DRX Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Group Stage DRX Challengers 41¢ $184 $0 −$184 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) Invictus Gaming 54¢ $121 $0 −$121 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on March 29? Yes 24¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Group Stage Hanwha Life Esports Challengers 39¢ $97 $0 −$97 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Bilibili Gaming 72¢ $161 $0 −$161 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) Weibo Gaming 60¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner JD Gaming 36¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Yes 63¢ $57 $0 −$57 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffs KT Rolster Challengers 60¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on March 29? Yes 32¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$18 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $28 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +197%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$3 -29%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $10 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +6%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $61 +$59 +97%
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe Jun 12 $13 +$6 +42%
Will Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's I Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$3 -54%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $32 −$12 -36%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $69 −$28 -41%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $58 −$57 -99%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $6 +$3 +42%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on March 29? Mar 29 $37 −$37 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on March 29? Mar 28 $24 −$24 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Mar 07 $102 −$2 -2%
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch? Mar 04 $2,798 +$336 +12%
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch? Mar 04 $64 +$6 +10%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Mar 04 $104 −$23 -22%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Mar 04 $221 −$68 -31%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Mar 04 $49 −$48 -98%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Mar 04 $100 +$50 +50%
Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? Mar 04 $49 −$2 -4%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Mar 04 $303 −$147 -48%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stage Mar 04 $138 −$3 -2%
Valorant: T1 vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stage Mar 04 $93 +$40 +43%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 4 Winner Mar 03 $29 −$25 -88%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Mar 03 $170 −$1 -0%
LoL: T1 Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers Le Mar 03 $241 +$30 +12%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Gro Mar 03 $50 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 3? Mar 02 $40 −$1 -4%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Mar 02 $102 +$98 +96%
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch? Mar 02 $2,282 −$53 -2%
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs Mar 01 $13 −$12 -90%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Ch Feb 28 $60 −$60 -100%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Feb 28 $24 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 28? Feb 28 $290 −$5 -2%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Feb 28 $36 +$13 +37%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO5) - LCP Pl Feb 28 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Feb 28 $192 +$52 +27%
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? Feb 28 $1,114 −$660 -59%
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? Feb 28 $366 +$39 +10%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Feb 26 $640 −$139 -22%
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers Feb 26 $412 −$131 -32%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 59% +$389
sports 30% −$1,299
world 8% −$621
crypto 3% −$20
weather 0% −$61
finance 0% +$6
tech 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $9 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 14¢ $0 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $25 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-29.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 -12.0% -20.4% 42% 32% -22.8%
≤30d 19 -12.0% -20.4% 42% 32% -22.8%
≤90d 21 -20.4% -28.0% 38% 29% -33.3%
all 77 -22.4% -29.8% 35% 30% -14.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -29.8% 30% -14.2%
10% -36.5% 17% -22.5%
15% -42.6% 16% -29.9%
20% -48.2% 5% -36.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $113.64 · official $113.65 (match) · 502 history records