Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T23:25:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
0B 0x0b4e…0dfb other 302 markets active 1h ago coverage 96d
TRAPdo not copy Fresh edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$49 (+0%) realized +$49 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -13% what you keep after slip
Net edge-13%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate99%300W / 2L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$49per market
Trades / day4.9pace
Kalshi-fit48%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days+$8
14 days+$9
30 days+$15
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 57% +$30
other 43% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 +0.3% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.3%
≤30d 32 +0.5% -9.1% 100% 0% -9.2%
≤90d 268 +0.5% -9.1% 99% 1% -9.3%
all 302 +0.5% -9.1% 99% 1% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover4.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.1% 1% -9.3%
10% -17.8% 1% -18.0%
15% -25.8% 0% -25.9%
20% -33.0% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 10% · top 2 18% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
98% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late +1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$55 · ×0.01 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.31 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

96d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$49
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses300 / 2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)302 / 302
History coverage96d
Avg bet$49
Trades / day4.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit48%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 302 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 26 $420 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 26 $423 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 25 $133 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 25 $423 +$1 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 25 $321 +$1 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 25 $423 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 24 $36 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 24 $423 +$1 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 24 $267 +$1 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 19 $14 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 17 $8 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 17 $100 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $66 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $70 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 09 $70 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 08 $6 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 08 $7 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 08 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 06 $6 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5AM ET Jun 06 $68 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 06 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10PM ET Jun 06 $68 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 11PM ET Jun 06 $68 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 10PM ET Jun 06 $68 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 10PM ET Jun 06 $68 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 06 $4 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 05 $70 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 05 $70 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 05 $70 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 02 $8 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 01 $70 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET May 26 $8 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET May 25 $1 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET May 25 $68 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET May 25 $68 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET May 25 $68 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET May 20 $4 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET May 20 $8 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET May 18 $6 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET May 18 $7 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET May 18 $8 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET May 18 $8 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET May 18 $14 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET May 15 $24 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET May 14 $68 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET May 14 $68 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - May 12, 3PM ET May 13 $68 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - May 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET May 13 $68 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET May 13 $68 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $105 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $105 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $105 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $105 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $423 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $133 33h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $423 33h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $321 36h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $423 42h
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $423 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $36 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $267 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $14 7d
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 9d
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $100 9d
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $8 10d
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $70 13d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $66 14d
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $70 18d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $7 18d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $10 19d
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $6 20d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $17 20d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $17 20d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $17 20d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $17 20d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $6 20d
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 20d
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 11PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $17 20d
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 11PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $17 20d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 775 history records