Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T07:05:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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0B 0x0b4c…0f79 crypto 1625 markets active 0h ago coverage 20d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 20d only
✗ bot/MM pace (85 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$651 (-3%) realized −$651 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR51%break-even
Win rate63%1031W / 594L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$12per market
Trades / day85.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$262
7 days+$247
14 days+$252
30 days+$140
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$140
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (85 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-13.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 337 +0.8% -8.8% 80% 56% -6.3%
≤30d 1625 -4.4% -13.5% 63% 51% -8.9%
≤90d 1625 -4.4% -13.5% 63% 51% -8.9%
all 1625 -4.4% -13.5% 63% 51% -8.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover85.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.5% 51% -8.9%
10% ← realistic here -21.8% 35% -17.6%
15% -29.3% 25% -25.5%
20% -36.2% 18% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
10% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt +1% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -7% → late -2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$5 · ×0.6 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.05 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

20d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$651
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses1031 / 594
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1625 / 1625
History coverage20d ⚠
Avg bet$12
Trades / day85.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1625 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 17 $66 +$11 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 17 $68 −$68 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 17 $40 +$4 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 17 $68 +$8 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 17 $68 +$6 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 17 $68 +$7 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 17 $67 +$7 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 17 $67 +$23 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 17 $42 +$3 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $66 +$10 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 17 $61 +$6 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 17 $64 +$7 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$2 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 16 $61 +$6 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 16 $61 +$7 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 16 $63 +$6 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$3 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 16 $63 +$6 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 16 $63 +$7 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 16 $62 +$9 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$2 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 16 $53 +$6 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 16 $62 +$9 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 16 $61 +$8 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 16 $19 +$2 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 16 $61 +$7 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 16 $60 +$8 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 16 $60 +$6 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 16 $60 +$7 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 16 $59 +$6 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 16 $56 +$6 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 16 $59 +$6 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 16 $58 +$9 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 16 $58 +$7 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 16 $57 +$7 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 16 $54 +$6 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 16 $57 +$7 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 16 $37 +$3 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$2 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 15 $56 +$6 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 15 $56 +$6 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $66 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $68 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $40 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $68 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $68 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $68 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $67 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $67 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $42 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $66 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $4 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $61 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $61 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $64 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $61 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $63 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $63 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $63 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $62 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $4 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $53 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $62 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $61 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $19 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records