Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:37:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0B
0x0b38…317c
other · 15 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
+$30 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$42 · open −$13
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$272
Realized+$42
Unrealized−$13
Win rate (resolved)22%
Wins / losses2 / 7
Est. fees paid−$10
Open positions6
Markets (closed)9 / 15
History coverage1d
Avg bet$70
Trades / day21.0
Drawdown90%
Kalshi-fit20%
Chart Positions 6 History 9 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$42
7 days+$42
14 days+$42
30 days+$42
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $100 $86 −$14 (-14%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Yes 15¢ 18¢ $20 $23 +$3 (+17%)
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco? Yes 7¢ 6¢ $25 $22 −$3 (-13%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $20 $21 +$1 (+6%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? Yes 15¢ 16¢ $20 $21 +$1 (+3%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $210 $0 −$210 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Paraguay? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 0 - 2 Paraguay? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: United States 0 - 2 Paraguay? Jun 13 $21 −$20 -94%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Paraguay? Jun 12 $21 −$20 -94%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 12 $21 −$20 -94%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $117 −$91 -78%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 12 $276 −$212 -77%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $80 −$80 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $186 +$439 +236%
Bosnia-Herzegovina leading at halftime? Jun 12 $21 +$56 +262%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 55% −$187
sports 45% +$217
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco? BUY Yes 7¢ $27 1h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $21 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $105 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 15¢ $21 7h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? BUY Yes 15¢ $21 7h
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 11¢ $107 7h
Exact Score: United States 0 - 2 Paraguay? BUY Yes 4¢ $21 9h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Paraguay? BUY Yes 7¢ $21 9h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 10¢ $21 9h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $96 9h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $170 9h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $53 10h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 23¢ $18 10h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? SELL Yes 29¢ $45 10h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $21 10h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $53 10h
Bosnia-Herzegovina leading at halftime? SELL Yes 69¢ $77 14h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Under 42¢ $11 15h
Bosnia-Herzegovina leading at halftime? BUY Yes 17¢ $21 15h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $80 19h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $186 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-29.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 -22.4% -29.8% 22% 22% -3.4%
≤30d 9 -22.4% -29.8% 22% 22% -3.4%
≤90d 9 -22.4% -29.8% 22% 22% -3.4%
all 9 -22.4% -29.8% 22% 22% -3.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -29.8% 22% -3.4%
10% ← realistic here -36.5% 22% -12.6%
15% -42.6% 22% -21.1%
20% -48.2% 22% -28.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $272.31 · official $272.31 (match) · 24 history records