Wallet analysis

2026-06-22T20:51:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
0B 0x0b35…f254 crypto 17 markets active 2h ago coverage 1d
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover! limited sample (<25 closed)
Total PnL +$8 (+1%) realized +$8 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate94%16W / 1L
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$71per market
Trades / day22.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-8.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 +1.1% -8.5% 94% 0% -8.6%
≤30d 17 +1.1% -8.5% 94% 0% -8.6%
≤90d 17 +1.1% -8.5% 94% 0% -8.6%
all 17 +1.1% -8.5% 94% 0% -8.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover22.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.5% 0% -8.6%
10% ← realistic here -17.2% 0% -17.4%
15% -25.2% 0% -25.4%
20% -32.6% 0% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 14% · top 2 27% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late +1% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$0 · ×42.95 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×687.21 per $1 lost it wins $687.21
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$8
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)94%
Wins / losses16 / 1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)17 / 17
History coverage1d
Avg bet$71
Trades / day22.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 17 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 22 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 22 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 22 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 22 $80 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 22 $11 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 22 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 22 $13 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 22 $80 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 22 $80 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 22 $70 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 22 $140 +$1 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 22 $140 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 22 $100 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 22 $60 +$2 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 22 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 22 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 22 $10 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $80 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $11 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $13 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $13 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $80 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $80 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $70 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 100¢ $141 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $70 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $70 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $80 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $60 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 100¢ $100 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $100 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $60 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 36 history records