Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:07:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0B
0x0b33…9426
other · 127 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$48 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$62 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$48
Realized−$62
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)11%
Wins / losses14 / 112
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions1
Markets (closed)126 / 127
History coverage103d
Avg bet$147
Trades / day4.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit69%
Chart Positions 1 History 126 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$14
14 days−$28
30 days−$35
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 96¢ 96¢ $48 $48 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 14 $133 −$2 -2%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Jun 14 $52 −$1 -2%
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 14 $65 −$1 -1%
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 13 $131 −$2 -2%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 13 $166 −$1 -0%
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 13 $286 −$1 -0%
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 13 $43 $0 -0%
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? Jun 12 $45 $0 -1%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? Jun 12 $62 −$3 -5%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June Jun 12 $56 −$1 -2%
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 11 $113 $0 -0%
Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $52 −$1 -2%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Jun 11 $57 $0 +0%
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 11 $49 $0 -0%
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 11 $60 $0 -0%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 10 $45 $0 -0%
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Jun 10 $104 −$1 -1%
Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $6 $0 +0%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Jun 09 $55 $0 -1%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Jun 09 $58 $0 +1%
Will Uruguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Jun 07 $51 −$1 -1%
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 07 $53 $0 -0%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 06 $98 $0 +0%
Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $50 $0 -1%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 06 $937 −$3 -0%
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $53 $0 -1%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 05 $222 −$1 -0%
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 05 $55 −$1 -1%
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 05 $46 $0 -0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 04 $328 −$2 -1%
Will Canada reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 04 $10 $0 -5%
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026? Jun 04 $43 $0 -0%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? Jun 03 $59 $0 -0%
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 03 $438 −$1 -0%
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? Jun 02 $42 −$1 -1%
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 02 $183 −$2 -1%
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 01 $227 −$1 -1%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 01 $51 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 31 $51 $0 -0%
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? May 31 $52 $0 -0%
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? May 31 $169 $0 -0%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 30 $56 $0 -0%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet May 30 $192 $0 -0%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 29 $67 $0 -0%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 29 $230 −$1 -0%
Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals? May 28 $62 $0 -1%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 3 May 27 $51 $0 -0%
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 27 $53 $0 -0%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 23 $104 $0 -0%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 23 $51 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 34% −$16
politics 27% −$15
sports 18% −$8
crypto 6% −$8
culture 4% −$4
tech 3% −$5
world 3% −$5
economics 3% −$2
finance 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 96¢ $48 57m
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL No 90¢ $40 1h
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? BUY No 92¢ $41 8h
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? SELL No 90¢ $51 9h
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? BUY No 91¢ $52 14h
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 97¢ $64 14h
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 98¢ $65 20h
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 92¢ $65 20h
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 93¢ $66 26h
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 97¢ $51 27h
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 98¢ $51 34h
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 98¢ $39 34h
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 98¢ $40 39h
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 98¢ $43 39h
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 97¢ $43 47h
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? SELL No 97¢ $45 2d
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? BUY No 98¢ $45 2d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? SELL No 90¢ $59 2d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? BUY No 94¢ $62 2d
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June SELL Yes 93¢ $55 2d
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June BUY Yes 94¢ $56 2d
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 98¢ $61 2d
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 98¢ $61 3d
Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 92¢ $51 3d
Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 94¢ $52 3d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL No 96¢ $57 3d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 96¢ $57 3d
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 96¢ $49 3d
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 96¢ $49 3d
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 96¢ $60 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 20 -0.9% -10.3% 15% 0% -10.3%
≤30d 61 -0.7% -10.1% 10% 0% -10.0%
≤90d 103 -0.5% -10.0% 9% 0% -9.9%
all 126 -0.5% -9.9% 11% 0% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.9% 0% -9.8%
10% -18.6% 0% -18.5%
15% -26.4% 0% -26.3%
20% -33.6% 0% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $48.14 · official $48.14 (match) · 468 history records