Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T10:09:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5
score
0B 0x0b23…06e0 crypto 1799 markets active 1h ago coverage 55d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 54d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$388 (+1%) realized +$388 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR65%break-even
Win rate65%1163W / 636L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$16per market
Trades / day41.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,236
7 days−$1,058
14 days−$544
30 days−$583
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$853
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +65%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 209 -47.1% -52.1% 35% 35% -46.0%
≤30d 1042 -1.3% -10.7% 64% 64% -15.3%
≤90d 1799 +0.1% -9.4% 65% 65% -10.7%
all 1799 +0.1% -9.4% 65% 65% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover41.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.4% 65% -10.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.1% 65% -19.3%
15% -26.0% 53% -27.1%
20% -33.3% 39% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late +0% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$9 vs −$17 · ×0.53 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.96 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

55d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$388
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses1163 / 636
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1799 / 1799
History coverage55d ⚠
Avg bet$16
Trades / day41.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1799 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 17 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 17 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 17 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 17 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 17 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 17 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 17 $56 −$56 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 17 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$10 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $15 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $15 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $14 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $14 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $14 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $15 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $14 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $15 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $14 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $15 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $14 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $14 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $13 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $13 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $13 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $15 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $13 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $14 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $13 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $13 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $14 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $14 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $15 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $12 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $14 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $14 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $12 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records