trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 1 | +1.6% | -8.1% | 100% | 0% | -8.1% |
| all | 20 | -27.2% | -34.1% | 45% | 20% | -43.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -34.1% | 20% | -43.7% |
| 10% | -40.4% | 20% | -49.1% |
| 15% | -46.2% | 20% | -54.0% |
| 20% | -51.5% | 20% | -58.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 50¢ | 42¢ | $105 | $89 | −$16 (-15%) |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | Yes | 70¢ | 88¢ | $35 | $44 | +$9 (+26%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | May 01 | $69 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Mar 08 | $5 | $0 | +6% |
| Celtics vs. Nets | Jan 23 | $36 | −$36 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 22? | Jan 23 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Dec 26 | $1,449 | −$1,449 | -100% |
| Celtics vs. Pacers | Dec 26 | $546 | −$546 | -100% |
| Heat vs. Hawks | Dec 26 | $2,623 | −$2,623 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | Dec 26 | $1,050 | +$3,150 | +300% |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 20 | Dec 25 | $192 | +$8 | +4% |
| Pistons vs. Trail Blazers | Dec 23 | $526 | +$274 | +52% |
| Bulls vs. Cavaliers | Dec 19 | $2,660 | −$2,660 | -100% |
| Dolphins vs. Steelers | Dec 16 | $1,860 | +$1,140 | +61% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Dec 16 | $1,350 | −$1,350 | -100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | Dec 10 | $52 | −$52 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Warriors | Dec 03 | $162 | −$162 | -100% |
| Cardinals vs. Buccaneers | Nov 30 | $592 | −$592 | -100% |
| Stars vs. Oilers | Nov 30 | $264 | +$336 | +127% |
| Pelicans vs. Mavericks | Nov 22 | $656 | −$656 | -100% |
| UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card) | Nov 15 | $660 | −$660 | -100% |
| Will Norway win on 2025-11-13? | Nov 15 | $729 | +$21 | +3% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | BUY Yes | 70¢ | $35 | 1h |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | BUY No | 98¢ | $69 | 60d |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY Yes | 50¢ | $105 | 87d |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | BUY Yes | 94¢ | $5 | 147d |
| Celtics vs. Nets | BUY Nets | 24¢ | $36 | 154d |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 22? | BUY No | 100¢ | $30 | 155d |
| Hornets vs. Magic | BUY Magic | 69¢ | $326 | 182d |
| Hornets vs. Magic | BUY Magic | 69¢ | $2 | 182d |
| Hornets vs. Magic | BUY Magic | 69¢ | $21 | 182d |
| Hornets vs. Magic | BUY Magic | 69¢ | $11 | 182d |
| Hornets vs. Magic | BUY Magic | 69¢ | $345 | 182d |
| Hornets vs. Magic | BUY Magic | 69¢ | $45 | 182d |
| Hornets vs. Magic | BUY Magic | 69¢ | $631 | 182d |
| Hornets vs. Magic | BUY Magic | 69¢ | $69 | 182d |
| Celtics vs. Pacers | BUY Pacers | 26¢ | $546 | 182d |
| Heat vs. Hawks | BUY Hawks | 61¢ | $2,623 | 182d |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | BUY Spurs | 25¢ | $143 | 183d |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | BUY Spurs | 25¢ | $1 | 183d |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | BUY Spurs | 25¢ | $13 | 183d |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | BUY Spurs | 25¢ | $1 | 183d |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | BUY Spurs | 25¢ | $175 | 183d |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | BUY Spurs | 25¢ | $8 | 183d |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | BUY Spurs | 25¢ | $8 | 183d |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | BUY Spurs | 25¢ | $8 | 183d |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | BUY Spurs | 25¢ | $8 | 183d |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | BUY Spurs | 25¢ | $8 | 183d |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | BUY Spurs | 25¢ | $8 | 183d |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | BUY Spurs | 25¢ | $8 | 183d |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | BUY Spurs | 25¢ | $8 | 183d |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | BUY Spurs | 25¢ | $8 | 183d |