Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:54:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0B
0x0b18…5c9e
sports · 452 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$74 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$59 · open −$14
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$27
Realized−$59
Unrealized−$14
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses222 / 219
Est. fees paid−$18
Open positions11
Markets (closed)441 / 452
History coverage32d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day20.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 11 History 441 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$35
14 days−$85
30 days−$52
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+5%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Bilibili Gaming 80¢ 57¢ $7 $5 −$2 (-28%)
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) Ilia Topuria 81¢ 80¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Boston Red Sox 49¢ 48¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5 Under 52¢ 48¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-8%)
Will Paper Rex win Valorant Masters London 2026? No 63¢ 58¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-8%)
Will EDward Gaming win Valorant Masters London 2026? No 96¢ 94¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? No 75¢ 81¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+8%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner KT Rolster 34¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Bilibili Gaming 81¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) KT Rolster 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Spread: Knicks (-2.5) Cavaliers 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports - Game 1 Winner Winthrop University 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Geneva Open: Raphael Collignon vs Casper Ruud Raphael Collignon 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Sinners 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spread: Thunder (-5.5) Spurs 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5 Over 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5) BetBoom Team 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? Yes 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Team WE 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs Team Liquid 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Anyones Legend 66¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Dplus KIA 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Frances Tiafoe 49¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Monte 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $9 +$1 +14%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 13 $6 +$3 +48%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $6 +$8 +129%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $6 +$4 +67%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $3 +$3 +109%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $6 −$6 -99%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $3 +$3 +101%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2 +$3 +134%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $6 −$6 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $3 +$2 +60%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $2 +$2 +86%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $2 +$1 +44%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $5 −$2 -36%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 170.5 Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $20 +$15 +73%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $2 −$2 -99%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $3 −$3 -99%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $3 −$3 -99%
Spread: Knicks (-4.5) Jun 11 $2 +$1 +36%
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) Jun 11 $3 −$3 -99%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $3 +$3 +90%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $3 +$7 +226%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $3 +$1 +34%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $3 +$3 +97%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $8 +$5 +61%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $5 +$3 +62%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $5 −$5 -99%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $5 −$5 -99%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $2 +$2 +79%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $2 $0 +18%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5 Jun 10 $2 +$2 +93%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $3 −$3 -98%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 Jun 10 $2 +$2 +79%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 Jun 10 $3 +$3 +97%
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $2 +$1 +57%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $6 −$6 -98%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 09 $4 −$4 -99%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 09 $2 −$2 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 92% −$63
other 8% −$11
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 79¢ $3 31m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 80¢ $2 32m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 80¢ $2 33m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 81¢ $3 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 81¢ $3 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 33¢ $2 2h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 35¢ $2 2h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 85¢ $3 3h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 89¢ $2 3h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 89¢ $2 3h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 88¢ $2 3h
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) BUY KT Rolster 52¢ $2 4h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 67¢ $3 8h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 67¢ $3 8h
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca BUY Ilia Topuria 81¢ $3 11h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Miami Marlins 43¢ $3 12h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Miami Marlins 43¢ $3 12h
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca BUY Ilia Topuria 81¢ $2 12h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 59¢ $3 16h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 59¢ $3 16h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $3 16h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 63¢ $3 17h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 63¢ $3 17h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY St. Louis Cardinals 45¢ $3 18h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 49¢ $3 18h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 49¢ $3 18h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 54¢ $3 18h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 54¢ $3 18h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 70¢ $3 19h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 76¢ $2 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-12.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 148 -6.5% -15.4% 49% 47% -15.5%
≤30d 436 -2.3% -11.6% 51% 48% -13.2%
≤90d 441 -3.4% -12.6% 50% 48% -13.7%
all 441 -3.4% -12.6% 50% 48% -13.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.6% 48% -13.7%
10% ← realistic here -20.9% 46% -21.9%
15% -28.6% 41% -29.5%
20% -35.6% 35% -36.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $27.29 · official $27.29 (match) · 889 history records