Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:00:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0B
0x0b04…c203
crypto · 846 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$521 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$520 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$520
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses540 / 369
Open positions1
Markets (closed)909 / 846
History coverage5d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day509.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 909 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$327
7 days−$520
14 days−$520
30 days−$520
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 82¢ 84¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 69¢ 16¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-78%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$293
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 41m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-16.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 909 -7.6% -16.4% 59% 47% -13.0%
≤30d 909 -7.6% -16.4% 59% 47% -13.0%
≤90d 909 -7.6% -16.4% 59% 47% -13.0%
all 909 -7.6% -16.4% 59% 47% -13.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover509.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.4% 47% -13.0%
10% ← realistic here -24.4% 25% -21.4%
15% -31.7% 12% -29.0%
20% -38.4% 6% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.51 · official $2.01 (match) · 3500 history records