Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:25:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0A
0x0aed…19cc
crypto · 47 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$6 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses25 / 22
Open positions0
Markets (closed)47 / 47
History coverage2d
Avg bet$25
Trades / day137.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 47 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$6
14 days−$6
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $29 −$4 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $91 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $61 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $16 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $32 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $36 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $30 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $21 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $29 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$10 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $72 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $43 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $62 −$19 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $83 −$4 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$7 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $61 −$3 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $77 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $67 +$8 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$15 +272%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +31%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$3 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$8 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$4 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$3 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$5 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$8 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$3 +15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$5
other 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $17 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $20 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Up 48¢ $8 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $8 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $25 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Up 81¢ $25 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $25 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Up 77¢ $21 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $20 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Up 84¢ $25 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $20 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 89¢ $21 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $20 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 88¢ $10 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 93¢ $12 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $10 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 85¢ $10 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $10 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 79¢ $11 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $10 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $10 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Up 91¢ $10 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $10 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Up 86¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $9 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $10 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $16 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $16 21m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-17.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 47 -8.5% -17.2% 53% 28% -10.0%
≤30d 47 -8.5% -17.2% 53% 28% -10.0%
≤90d 47 -8.5% -17.2% 53% 28% -10.0%
all 47 -8.5% -17.2% 53% 28% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover137.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.2% 28% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -25.1% 15% -18.7%
15% -32.4% 11% -26.5%
20% -39.0% 6% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 247 history records