Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T08:29:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.5
score
0A 0x0ae5…1f90 other 5 markets active 174d ago coverage 40d
RISKYcopy with care ⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge
Total PnL +$42,675 (+401%) realized +$42,675 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +385% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +281% what you keep after slip
Net edge+281%after slip
Net WR40%break-even
Win rate60%3W / 2L
Drawdown4%max
Avg bet$2,130per market
Trades / day3.5pace
Kalshi-fit20%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 40d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
other 95% −$1,107
culture 5% +$43,781
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)+339.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d no closed markets
all 5 +385.2% +339.0% 60% 40% +79.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover3.5 tr/day
realistic slip~12%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +339.0% 40% +79.9%
10% ← realistic here +297.0% 40% +62.7%
15% +258.6% 40% +47.0%
20% +223.5% 40% +32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 96% · top 2 99% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI — too few recent
Fragile wins
33% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +385% · $-wt +401% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
21.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$15,168 vs −$1,416 · ×10.71 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×16.07 per $1 lost it wins $16.07
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

40d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$42,675
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses3 / 2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)5 / 5
History coverage40d
Avg bet$2,130
Trades / day3.5
Drawdown4%
Kalshi-fit20%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 5 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1? Jan 02 $1,936 −$1,912 -99%
Over $275M committed to the Monad public sale? Jan 02 $1,440 +$1,397 +97%
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale? Jan 02 $1,177 −$919 -78%
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025? Jan 01 $582 +$43,781 +7527%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? Dec 07 $5,516 +$327 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025? SELL Yes 12¢ $1,680 173d
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025? SELL Yes 25¢ $2,017 173d
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025? SELL Yes 25¢ $8,838 173d
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025? SELL Yes 25¢ $20,000 173d
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025? SELL Yes 25¢ $5,000 173d
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025? SELL Yes 20¢ $3,827 173d
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025? SELL Yes 15¢ $3,000 173d
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 173d
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 173d
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025? BUY Yes 1¢ $100 173d
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 173d
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025? BUY Yes 0¢ $4 173d
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 173d
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 173d
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 174d
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 174d
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 174d
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 174d
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 174d
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 174d
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025? BUY Yes 0¢ $9 174d
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025? BUY Yes 0¢ $151 174d
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025? BUY Yes 0¢ $109 174d
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025? BUY Yes 0¢ $28 174d
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025? BUY Yes 0¢ $31 174d
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025? BUY Yes 0¢ $5 174d
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025? BUY Yes 0¢ $3 174d
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025? BUY Yes 0¢ $6 174d
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025? BUY Yes 0¢ $3 174d
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 174d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 143 history records