trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 4 | -0.9% | -10.3% | 25% | 0% | -10.5% |
| ≤90d | 4 | -0.9% | -10.3% | 25% | 0% | -10.5% |
| all | 19 | -11.2% | -19.6% | 42% | 0% | -17.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -19.6% | 0% | -17.1% |
| 10% | -27.3% | 0% | -25.1% |
| 15% | -34.3% | 0% | -32.3% |
| 20% | -40.8% | 0% | -38.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 47¢ | 47¢ | $28 | $28 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | May 26 | $31 | $0 | +1% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | May 25 | $29 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 24 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | May 24 | $29 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 1% and 0%? | Dec 15 | $1 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 35% of the vote in the South Korea el | Jun 05 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope? | May 09 | $17 | −$17 | -100% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Dec | May 08 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025? | May 08 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Alliance for a Great Albania win the most seats in the next A | May 08 | $4 | −$1 | -16% |
| Will Jose Tolentino de Mendonca be the next pope? | May 07 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in May? | May 07 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025 | May 06 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" during the May meeting? | May 06 | $15 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days? | May 05 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the LA Clippers win the Western Conference? | May 05 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 30 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Raymond Burke be the next pope? | Apr 29 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 29 | $19 | $0 | -2% |