Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:47:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0A
0x0acf…958b
crypto · 820 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$533 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$533 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$533
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses433 / 603
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1036 / 820
History coverage5d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day579.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1036 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$730
7 days−$533
14 days−$533
30 days−$533
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 35¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 24¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 31¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 45¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 91¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 65¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 26¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 49¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 31¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Up 19¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 31¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Down 48¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 34¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 51¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 74¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 28¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 66¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 71¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 61¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 10¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 65¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 23¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 65¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 31¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 27¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -108%
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$4 -114%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$468
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $7 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $14 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $6 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $12 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $12 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $14 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $14 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $17 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $14 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $4 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $4 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-30.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1036 -23.4% -30.7% 42% 39% -13.6%
≤30d 1036 -23.4% -30.7% 42% 39% -13.6%
≤90d 1036 -23.4% -30.7% 42% 39% -13.6%
all 1036 -23.4% -30.7% 42% 39% -13.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover579.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -30.7% 39% -13.6%
10% ← realistic here -37.3% 36% -21.9%
15% -43.4% 29% -29.4%
20% -48.9% 19% -36.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records