Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:56:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0A
0x0ac3…1e02
crypto · 1041 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$100 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$100 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$17
Realized+$100
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses984 / 56
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1040 / 1041
History coverage115d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day9.9
Drawdown52%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1040 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days+$69
14 days+$66
30 days+$66
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Down 96¢ 100¢ $15 $15 +$1 (+4%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Down 98¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Up 92¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+9%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 92¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 30? Yes $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 91¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Up 91¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 91¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on June 1? Yes 92¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - February 22, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Down 95¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Up $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Down 97¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 97¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 91¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - February 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Up 95¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 19, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 97¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 96¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Up $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Up 92¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 94¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Up 90¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $14 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $14 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $15 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $14 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $14 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $15 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $14 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $14 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $15 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $14 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$105
politics 0% +$1
weather 0% −$3
culture 0% +$2
world 0% −$2
other 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $15 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $14 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $15 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $15 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $14 21h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $15 22h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $15 23h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $15 23h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 24h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $15 25h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $15 25h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $15 25h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $14 26h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $14 26h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $9 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $15 26h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $15 26h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $15 26h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $15 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $15 26h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 26h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 27h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $15 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 27h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $15 27h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $15 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $14 28h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $15 28h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $15 32h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 33h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 412 +1.2% -8.4% 97% 0% -8.5%
≤30d 675 -0.3% -9.8% 94% 2% -8.9%
≤90d 675 -0.3% -9.8% 94% 2% -8.9%
all 1040 +0.1% -9.4% 95% 2% -8.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.4% 2% -8.8%
10% -18.1% 0% -17.6%
15% -26.0% 0% -25.5%
20% -33.3% 0% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $16.86 · official $14.63 · 2131 history records