Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:59:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0A
0x0abb…d188
sports · 34 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$323 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$435 · open −$112
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$99
Realized+$435
Unrealized−$112
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses16 / 15
Est. fees paid−$55
Open positions3
Markets (closed)31 / 34
History coverage3d
Avg bet$132
Trades / day16.1
Drawdown64%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 3 History 31 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$371
7 days+$435
14 days+$435
30 days+$435
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Spurs 50¢ 49¢ $53 $52 −$1 (-2%)
1H Spread: Spurs (-10.5) Spurs 29¢ 26¢ $52 $47 −$4 (-9%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 34¢ $106 $0 −$106 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Legacy 48¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 53¢ $125 $0 −$125 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 45¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) FUT Esports 27¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 65¢ $277 $0 −$277 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Team WE 45¢ $205 $0 −$205 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 21¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 57¢ $122 $0 −$122 (-100%)
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Vitality 54¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) Bilibili Gaming 64¢ $210 $0 −$210 (-100%)
Spread: Knicks (-2.5) Knicks 49¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Switzerland 36¢ $97 $0 −$97 (-100%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Switzerland 59¢ $102 $0 −$102 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ $76 $0 −$76 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) Jun 14 $112 −$5 -5%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5) Jun 13 $101 +$119 +118%
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Jun 13 $99 −$97 -98%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $103 −$102 -99%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $208 −$205 -98%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $202 +$110 +54%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) Jun 13 $212 −$210 -99%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $64 +$264 +413%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $71 +$113 +158%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $81 +$54 +67%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $77 −$76 -99%
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Jun 12 $110 +$48 +44%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $50 +$60 +121%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $51 −$50 -98%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $101 −$99 -98%
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) Jun 12 $101 −$99 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $280 −$277 -99%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $101 +$80 +79%
Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 2.5 Corners Jun 11 $106 +$99 +94%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $109 +$152 +139%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $652 +$283 +43%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $213 +$216 +102%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 11 $213 +$224 +105%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5) Jun 11 $102 +$152 +150%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5) Jun 11 $100 +$74 +74%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $100 −$99 -98%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Jun 11 $101 −$100 -99%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $124 −$122 -99%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $127 −$125 -99%
Spread: England (-2.5) Jun 10 $100 +$151 +152%
Spread: Knicks (-2.5) Jun 10 $102 −$100 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 81% +$222
other 19% +$101
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
1H Spread: Spurs (-10.5) BUY Spurs 29¢ $53 46m
1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5) BUY Spurs 50¢ $54 46m
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) SELL Gen.G 52¢ $106 52m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 34¢ $109 1h
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) BUY Gen.G 53¢ $112 1h
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5) SELL 9z 100¢ $220 1h
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5) BUY 9z 45¢ $101 3h
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) BUY Switzerland 36¢ $99 13h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 59¢ $103 13h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 45¢ $208 13h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner SELL FUT Esports 100¢ $312 13h
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) BUY Bilibili Gaming 64¢ $212 14h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 64¢ $202 14h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 100¢ $328 21h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 100¢ $184 21h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 19¢ $64 27h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 38¢ $71 27h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 100¢ $135 27h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $77 32h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 59¢ $81 32h
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $158 32h
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) BUY Natus Vincere 69¢ $110 34h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 99¢ $110 34h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 44¢ $50 35h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 21¢ $51 35h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 45¢ $101 36h
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) BUY FUT Esports 27¢ $101 37h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 63¢ $13 39h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 65¢ $267 39h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 55¢ $101 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)+5.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 31 +16.4% +5.3% 52% 52% -0.3%
≤30d 31 +16.4% +5.3% 52% 52% -0.3%
≤90d 31 +16.4% +5.3% 52% 52% -0.3%
all 31 +16.4% +5.3% 52% 52% -0.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +5.3% 52% -0.3%
10% -4.8% 52% -9.8%
15% -14.0% 52% -18.5%
20% -22.4% 45% -26.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $99.31 · official $99.31 (match) · 52 history records