Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:58:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0A
0x0aac…d1a8
crypto · 296 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$43 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$43 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$43
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses145 / 151
Open positions0
Markets (closed)296 / 296
History coverage42d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day7.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 296 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$12
7 days+$12
14 days+$15
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 62¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+61%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 92¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+9%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$16 +1464%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$10 +841%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$14 +1241%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 03 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 03 $1 +$4 +331%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 03 $2 +$3 +181%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 03 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 03 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 03 $1 +$4 +312%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 03 $1 +$4 +312%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$43
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 38 +25.7% +13.8% 29% 18% +6.4%
≤30d 146 +5.2% -4.8% 56% 40% -9.7%
≤90d 296 -2.1% -11.4% 49% 41% -14.2%
all 296 -2.1% -11.4% 49% 41% -14.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.4% 41% -14.2%
10% -19.9% 36% -22.4%
15% -27.6% 31% -29.9%
20% -34.7% 28% -36.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.16 · official $10.16 (match) · 621 history records