Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:38:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0A
0x0aab…94e2
crypto · 1498 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,120 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,120 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,120
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses918 / 580
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1498 / 1498
History coverage38d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day62.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1498 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$228
7 days−$402
14 days−$527
30 days−$1,048
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $23 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $19 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $24 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $21 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$4 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $25 −$3 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $24 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $23 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $23 −$3 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $22 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$3 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $22 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $44 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $24 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $28 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$1 -5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% −$899
economics 2% −$25
finance 1% −$196
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $14 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $9 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $4 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $0 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $9 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $15 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $9 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $12 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $9 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $14 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $14 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $13 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $9 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-14.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 263 -5.5% -14.5% 52% 38% -17.0%
≤30d 1452 -5.1% -14.2% 62% 54% -15.7%
≤90d 1498 -5.4% -14.4% 61% 52% -15.9%
all 1498 -5.4% -14.4% 61% 52% -15.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover62.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.4% 52% -15.9%
10% ← realistic here -22.6% 47% -23.9%
15% -30.1% 37% -31.3%
20% -36.9% 11% -38.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records