Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:10:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0A
0x0aa0…5a01
crypto · 32 markets active 1h ago
4.0score
+$293 +14%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$313 · open −$20
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY Fresh edge⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$282
Realized+$313
Unrealized−$20
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses11 / 18
Est. fees paid−$16
Open positions3
Markets (closed)29 / 32
History coverage88d
Avg bet$66
Trades / day0.6
Drawdown88%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 3 History 29 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$150
7 days+$45
14 days+$45
30 days−$233
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 51¢ 44¢ $182 $159 −$23 (-13%)
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome? Yes 37¢ 36¢ $100 $98 −$2 (-2%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ 20¢ $20 $24 +$4 (+21%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $128 $0 −$128 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Main Card) Edmen Shahbazyan 39¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Will Trump say "Greenland" during Taoiseach events? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Knicks 67¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $45 −$44 -97%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 13 $203 +$161 +79%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $30 +$33 +109%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $101 −$100 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 07 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 07 $26 +$35 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 07 $37 −$35 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 07 $26 +$12 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 07 $32 +$75 +237%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 07 $31 +$34 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 07 $52 −$50 -96%
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Jun 07 $203 +$168 +83%
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Mai Jun 06 $204 −$200 -98%
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi May 15 $131 −$128 -97%
Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping? May 15 $52 −$50 -97%
Will Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping? May 15 $104 −$100 -96%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? May 14 $200 +$68 +34%
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) May 10 $102 +$148 +146%
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) May 10 $102 +$398 +388%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Apr 20 $15 +$2 +16%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? Apr 20 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Mar 19 $12 −$12 -100%
Will Trump say "Greenland" during Taoiseach events? Mar 18 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Mar 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Mar 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 48% +$573
crypto 14% −$2
other 13% −$29
world 11% +$45
politics 8% −$165
tech 6% −$128
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 31¢ $33 42m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $51 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $20 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $101 1h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 2¢ $5 3h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 5¢ $14 4h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $26 7h
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome? BUY Yes 37¢ $102 7h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $30 23h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 55¢ $203 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 67¢ $101 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $26 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 59¢ $62 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $26 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $26 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $39 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $26 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Down 59¢ $102 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $27 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $26 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $26 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $26 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)+17.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 +62.9% +47.3% 41% 41% -5.4%
≤30d 20 +38.4% +25.2% 35% 35% -26.0%
≤90d 29 +29.4% +17.1% 38% 38% +6.5%
all 29 +29.4% +17.1% 38% 38% +6.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +17.1% 38% +6.5%
10% +5.9% 34% -3.7%
15% -4.4% 31% -13.0%
20% -13.7% 28% -21.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $281.55 · official $281.55 (match) · 55 history records