trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | +15.8% | +4.8% | 60% | 50% | +2.6% |
| ≤30d | 21 | -6.7% | -15.6% | 43% | 38% | -6.7% |
| ≤90d | 21 | -6.7% | -15.6% | 43% | 38% | -6.7% |
| all | 21 | -6.7% | -15.6% | 43% | 38% | -6.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.6% | 38% | -6.7% |
| 10% | -23.6% | 33% | -15.6% |
| 15% | -31.0% | 33% | -23.8% |
| 20% | -37.8% | 33% | -31.2% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 23 | $10 | $0 | +3% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 23 | $10 | +$1 | +13% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 23 | $70 | −$10 | -14% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $10 | +$7 | +67% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $10 | +$11 | +109% |
| Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $10 | +$14 | +134% |
| France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 | Jun 16 | $20 | +$30 | +146% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 3.5 | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 | Jun 14 | $10 | +$12 | +119% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET | Jun 14 | $10 | −$2 | -16% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -96% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $10 | +$12 | +114% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | May 31 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Germany vs. Finland end in a draw? | May 31 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | May 30 | $10 | +$13 | +128% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $10 | −$4 | -42% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | May 30 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |