Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:26:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0A
0x0a84…c4fc
sports · 1113 markets active 0h ago
3.0score
+$44 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$27 · open +$17
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$103
Realized+$27
Unrealized+$17
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses656 / 450
Est. fees paid−$34
Open positions7
Markets (closed)1106 / 1113
History coverage103d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day20.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 7 History 1106 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$21
7 days+$113
14 days+$86
30 days+$172
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-05-29? No 98¢ 100¢ $18 $19 +$0 (+2%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner 9z 25¢ 100¢ $4 $16 +$12 (+300%)
Will Pau win? No 58¢ 100¢ $8 $14 +$6 (+72%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Aurora Gaming 39¢ 100¢ $3 $8 +$5 (+156%)
Will Racing Louisville FC vs. Denver Summit FC end in a draw? No 65¢ 100¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+54%)
ITF Los Angeles: Tia Messerli vs Klara Kosan Tia Messerli 96¢ 100¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+4%)
Will Benin win on 2026-06-09? No 93¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+8%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Aurora Gaming 55¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$2 (+82%)
Atlético Nacional leading at halftime? No 57¢ 100¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+75%)
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs Donstu Esports 33¢ 32¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-3%)
Will Club Alianza Lima win on 2026-05-31? No 77¢ 100¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+30%)
Tyler: Henry Searle vs Karl Poling Karl Poling 39¢ 100¢ $1 $3 +$2 (+156%)
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage XLG Gaming 44¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+127%)
Counter-Strike: Washed vs STATE - Map 2 Winner Washed 50¢ 40¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-20%)
Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Team Bald (BO1) - The International Europe Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs Team Bald 50¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+100%)
Will JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Avispa Fukuoka end in a draw? No 66¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+52%)
Will Ōita Trinita vs. Montedio Yamagata end in a draw? No 74¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+35%)
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-06-06? Yes 90¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+11%)
Will Ecuador vs. Guatemala end in a draw? No 96¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team - Map 1 Winner Leo Team 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-09? No 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Global Esports 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Mauritania win on 2026-06-08? No 66¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $3 +$9 +291%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $15 +$33 +216%
Counter-Strike: Washed vs Invicta (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A Jun 12 $2 $0 +18%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 12 $4 +$2 +39%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $3 +$1 +39%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2 +$6 +388%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 12 $13 +$11 +86%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Added vs. Luque: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +32%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $3 +$1 +46%
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 +$1 +76%
Dota 2: Level UP vs 4ikibamboni - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 +$1 +79%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $11 −$8 -77%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $22 −$10 -47%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bonzi vs. Minaur: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 12 $2 +$1 +55%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 $0 +24%
BC Zenit vs. Lokomotiv Kuban Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
ITF kiseljak: Sergi Perez Contri vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $5 +$3 +58%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $1 +$2 +152%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2 $0 -19%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $7 +$3 +46%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Marie Mettraux vs Anja Stankovic Jun 12 $1 +$1 +101%
ITF Hurghada: Viktoria Morvayova vs Martyna Kubka Jun 12 $2 $0 +18%
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Sara Milanese Jun 12 $9 +$2 +23%
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito Jun 12 $17 +$5 +31%
ITF Maanshan: Pawit Sornlaksup vs Thanapet Chanta Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Korea Republic leading at halftime? Jun 12 $6 +$2 +24%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire: O/U 173.5 Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $17 +$6 +39%
Gimnasia vs. Quimsa Jun 12 $1 +$1 +42%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings Jun 12 $5 +$2 +36%
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 12 $3 +$1 +18%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 172.5 Jun 12 $7 +$6 +90%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt Jun 12 $5 +$2 +42%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5 Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
ITF Cuiaba: Giovana Schincariol Delatorre Barbosa vs Carolina Alves Jun 11 $3 +$1 +29%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $13 −$13 -100%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Jun 11 $1 +$1 +114%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 11 $0 $0 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 11 $10 +$10 +97%
ITF Los Angeles: Salma Ewing vs Maria Aytoyan Jun 11 $2 +$4 +250%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $2 +$1 +52%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 73% +$44
other 24% +$8
crypto 1% +$3
politics 1% −$6
world 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Washed vs STATE - Map 2 Winner BUY Washed 50¢ $3 12m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 25¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ BUY Donstu Esports 33¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 39¢ $3 1h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Aurora Gaming 55¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Leo Team 46¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Washed vs Invicta (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A BUY Washed 84¢ $2 2h
Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Team Bald (BO1) - The International Europe Open BUY Team Bald 50¢ $1 2h
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley BUY Jacob Fearnley 53¢ $9 2h
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley BUY Jacob Fearnley 53¢ $4 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 31¢ $8 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 25¢ $3 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 31¢ $8 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 20¢ $2 3h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 69¢ $1 3h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY GenOne 66¢ $1 3h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 73¢ $1 3h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY GenOne 72¢ $2 3h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY GenOne 74¢ $2 3h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 82¢ $1 3h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 68¢ $3 3h
Added vs. Luque: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 75¢ $1 4h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 35¢ $7 4h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 73¢ $3 5h
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Nemiga Gaming 56¢ $1 5h
Dota 2: Level UP vs 4ikibamboni - Game 1 Winner BUY Level UP 55¢ $1 6h
Bonzi vs. Minaur: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Under 64¢ $2 6h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 44¢ $3 6h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 35¢ $8 6h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 34¢ $8 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-2.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 293 +12.3% +1.6% 63% 61% -1.1%
≤30d 685 +14.5% +3.6% 61% 59% -4.0%
≤90d 699 +13.7% +2.9% 61% 58% -5.5%
all 1106 +7.7% -2.5% 59% 54% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.5% 54% -9.1%
10% ← realistic here -11.9% 45% -17.8%
15% -20.4% 35% -25.8%
20% -28.2% 28% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $103.35 · official $102.38 (match) · 3500 history records