Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:23:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0A
0x0a82…a20d
crypto · 190 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$820 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,432 · open −$18
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized−$1,432
Unrealized−$18
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses111 / 78
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions1
Markets (closed)189 / 190
History coverage26d
Avg bet$73
Trades / day29.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 189 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days−$23
14 days−$109
30 days−$1,432
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 42¢ 10¢ $24 $6 −$18 (-75%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Cavaliers Cavaliers 57¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $64 $0 −$64 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $134 $0 −$134 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $93 $0 −$93 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $78 $0 −$78 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET Jun 14 $32 +$7 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $52 +$11 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET Jun 14 $122 −$28 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $27 +$4 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $39 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5AM ET Jun 14 $50 +$10 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$1 +6%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $25 −$7 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$10 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $8 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 09 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 09 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET May 31 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET May 31 $100 −$34 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET May 31 $32 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1PM ET May 31 $44 −$20 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12PM ET May 31 $44 −$14 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET May 31 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET May 31 $25 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET May 31 $70 −$20 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET May 29 $15 +$6 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 29? May 29 $11 +$4 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET May 29 $16 +$3 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET May 29 $33 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET May 29 $6 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET May 29 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET May 29 $11 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET May 29 $21 −$16 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET May 29 $17 +$4 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET May 28 $47 −$44 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET May 26 $104 −$104 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET May 26 $342 +$26 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET May 26 $266 +$65 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET May 26 $41 +$7 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET May 26 $58 −$48 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET May 26 $113 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET May 26 $9 −$9 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET May 26 $11 +$5 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET May 26 $55 +$3 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% −$1,356
sports 3% −$94
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $12 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 18¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 10¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 10¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 10¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 10¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 39¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 39¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $39 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $39 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $32 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $32 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $31 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $31 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $21 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $0 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET SELL Up 6¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET SELL Up 6¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET SELL Up 6¢ $0 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $13 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $4 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $7 51m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-27.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 -14.8% -22.9% 65% 43% -15.7%
≤30d 189 -20.2% -27.8% 59% 26% -19.4%
≤90d 189 -20.2% -27.8% 59% 26% -19.4%
all 189 -20.2% -27.8% 59% 26% -19.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.8% 26% -19.4%
10% ← realistic here -34.7% 10% -27.1%
15% -41.0% 6% -34.2%
20% -46.8% 1% -40.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.84 · official $12.52 · 821 history records