trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -21.1% | -28.7% | 67% | 50% | -13.0% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -16.9% | -24.9% | 71% | 43% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 24 | +5.6% | -4.5% | 75% | 62% | +10.1% |
| all | 24 | +5.6% | -4.5% | 75% | 62% | +10.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -4.5% | 62% | +10.1% |
| 10% | -13.6% | 42% | -0.4% |
| 15% | -22.0% | 29% | -10.1% |
| 20% | -29.6% | 21% | -18.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | Yes | 63¢ | 62¢ | $145 | $143 | −$2 (-1%) |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 58¢ | 81¢ | $80 | $110 | +$31 (+39%) |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | 73¢ | 74¢ | $60 | $61 | +$1 (+2%) |
| US recession by end of 2026? | No | 80¢ | 88¢ | $30 | $33 | +$3 (+9%) |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 39¢ | 60¢ | $10 | $15 | +$5 (+54%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | Jun 19 | $10 | +$2 | +16% |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting? | Jun 19 | $15 | +$3 | +18% |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meetin | Jun 19 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet | Jun 19 | $20 | +$2 | +10% |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open? | Jun 19 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 3 | Jun 19 | $20 | +$6 | +29% |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev | May 22 | $40 | +$3 | +8% |
| Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open? | May 15 | $15 | +$12 | +78% |
| Madrid Open: Alexander Bublik vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | May 15 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | May 15 | $15 | +$4 | +28% |
| Will Trump say "Drill baby drill" this week? (April 27 - May 3) | May 04 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting? | May 04 | $25 | +$2 | +9% |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeti | May 01 | $29 | +$58 | +203% |
| Will Trump post "Charlie" or "Kirk" this week on Truth Social? | Apr 21 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Trump post "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week on Truth Social? | Apr 21 | $5 | +$3 | +54% |
| Will Trump post "Epstein" this week on Truth Social? | Apr 21 | $10 | +$1 | +15% |
| Will Trump say "Ass" this week? (April 19) | Apr 21 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "Witch" this week? (April 12) | Apr 13 | $20 | +$7 | +35% |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Joao Fonseca | Apr 09 | $10 | +$7 | +67% |
| Lorenzo Musetti vs. Valentin Vacherot: Total Sets O/U 2.5 | Apr 09 | $10 | +$5 | +51% |
| Set 1 Winner: Moutet vs Ruud | Apr 09 | $20 | +$10 | +48% |
| Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5? | Apr 06 | $20 | +$3 | +14% |
| Will Trump say "Gay" this week? (April 5) | Apr 06 | $20 | +$3 | +13% |
| Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during Address to the Nation? | Apr 02 | $20 | +$7 | +37% |