Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:13:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0A
0x0a75…abdb
crypto · 5 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$27 -37%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$27 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized−$27
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)20%
Wins / losses1 / 4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)5 / 5
History coverage1d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day23.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$27
7 days−$27
14 days−$27
30 days−$27
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$11 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$4 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$11 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $27 +$1 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$27
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET SELL Down $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET SELL Down $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $11 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Up $0 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET SELL Up $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET SELL Up 19¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET SELL Down 27¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET SELL Down 28¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET SELL Down 92¢ $70 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $11 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-62.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -59.0% -62.9% 20% 20% -56.0%
≤30d 5 -59.0% -62.9% 20% 20% -56.0%
≤90d 5 -59.0% -62.9% 20% 20% -56.0%
all 5 -59.0% -62.9% 20% 20% -56.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover23.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -62.9% 20% -56.0%
10% ← realistic here -66.5% 20% -60.2%
15% -69.7% 0% -64.1%
20% -72.7% 0% -67.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 23 history records