Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:05:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0A
0x0a71…4a6b
crypto · 1843 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$198 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$198 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$198
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)83%
Wins / losses1534 / 309
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1843 / 1843
History coverage41d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day45.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 1843 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$14
7 days−$36
14 days−$144
30 days−$208
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 75¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 77¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 73¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 69¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 89¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 85¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 71¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 69¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 67¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 73¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 71¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 81¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 69¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 79¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Down 73¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 74¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 75¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 75¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 91¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 82¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 71¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 66¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 80¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 80¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 77¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -67%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -91%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -92%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -92%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 92% −$194
other 3% +$2
weather 3% +$4
politics 2% −$3
world 1% −$9
finance 0% +$1
tech 0% $0
culture 0% $0
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $4 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 29m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 42m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 47m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Up 30¢ $2 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Up $0 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-11.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 697 -1.3% -10.7% 80% 67% -10.5%
≤30d 1757 -2.5% -11.8% 82% 48% -11.7%
≤90d 1843 -2.3% -11.6% 83% 46% -11.5%
all 1843 -2.3% -11.6% 83% 46% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover45.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.6% 46% -11.5%
10% ← realistic here -20.1% 26% -19.9%
15% -27.8% 5% -27.7%
20% -34.9% 1% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records