trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +16.7% | +5.6% | 100% | 50% | +5.3% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -9.4% | -18.0% | 86% | 14% | -18.8% |
| ≤90d | 16 | -4.1% | -13.2% | 94% | 6% | -13.5% |
| all | 19 | -3.4% | -12.6% | 95% | 5% | -12.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.6% | 5% | -12.8% |
| 10% | -21.0% | 5% | -21.1% |
| 15% | -28.6% | 0% | -28.8% |
| 20% | -35.6% | 0% | -35.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 3.5 | Over | 72¢ | 100¢ | $598 | $831 | +$232 (+39%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 26 | $596 | +$6 | +1% |
| Spread: Brazil (-1.5) | Jun 20 | $571 | +$185 | +32% |
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $535 | −$532 | -99% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $534 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026? | Jun 07 | $531 | +$3 | +1% |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | Jun 01 | $239 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control O | Jun 01 | $291 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Z.ai have the second highest estimated revenue for May 11–May 17, | May 19 | $530 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 8? | May 09 | $530 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market ca | May 01 | $250 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Moonshot have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of April | May 01 | $280 | $0 | +0% |
| Will "BEEF: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | Apr 22 | $529 | +$1 | +0% |
| Pistons vs. Pacers | Apr 13 | $528 | +$1 | +0% |
| 76ers vs. Rockets | Apr 10 | $527 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormu | Apr 09 | $527 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Artemis II launch by March 31? | Apr 01 | $526 | +$1 | +0% |
| Bucks vs. Clippers | Mar 24 | $526 | +$1 | +0% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Mar 19 | $525 | +$1 | +0% |
| Rockets vs. Nuggets | Mar 12 | $524 | +$2 | +0% |