Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:16:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0A
0x0a6d…1d0a
other · 232 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$45,370 +34%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$15,859 · open +$13,958
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$138,476
Realized+$15,859
Unrealized+$13,958
Win rate (resolved)82%
Wins / losses55 / 12
Whale WR (big bets)94%
Est. fees paid−$189
Open positions485
Markets (closed)67 / 232
History coverage7d
Avg bet$582
Trades / day480.8
Drawdown1%
Kalshi-fit69%
Chart Positions 485 History 67 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$12,571
7 days+$15,859
14 days+$15,859
30 days+$15,859
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No 66¢ 94¢ $2,414 $3,457 +$1,042 (+43%)
Will Strong Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election? No 91¢ 100¢ $2,880 $3,144 +$264 (+9%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? No 87¢ 85¢ $2,325 $2,288 −$38 (-2%)
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No 91¢ 98¢ $1,743 $1,865 +$122 (+7%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No 64¢ 80¢ $1,396 $1,761 +$365 (+26%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026? Yes 92¢ 98¢ $1,602 $1,700 +$98 (+6%)
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? No 93¢ 97¢ $1,614 $1,681 +$67 (+4%)
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No 96¢ 99¢ $1,622 $1,675 +$53 (+3%)
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026? No 91¢ 98¢ $1,503 $1,626 +$123 (+8%)
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? No 95¢ 97¢ $1,554 $1,584 +$31 (+2%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No 86¢ 98¢ $1,324 $1,495 +$171 (+13%)
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026? No 86¢ 99¢ $1,237 $1,435 +$198 (+16%)
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No 74¢ 87¢ $1,131 $1,325 +$194 (+17%)
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No 93¢ 99¢ $1,216 $1,297 +$82 (+7%)
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No 42¢ 46¢ $1,143 $1,265 +$122 (+11%)
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? Yes 20¢ 37¢ $676 $1,230 +$554 (+82%)
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? No 22¢ 86¢ $316 $1,217 +$901 (+285%)
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No 55¢ 80¢ $816 $1,174 +$357 (+44%)
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026? No 96¢ 99¢ $1,076 $1,113 +$37 (+3%)
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No 41¢ 80¢ $563 $1,105 +$542 (+96%)
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? No 88¢ 96¢ $1,006 $1,102 +$97 (+10%)
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman? No 97¢ 100¢ $1,073 $1,102 +$29 (+3%)
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No 77¢ 88¢ $962 $1,094 +$131 (+14%)
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No 93¢ 96¢ $1,045 $1,081 +$36 (+3%)
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No 42¢ 68¢ $655 $1,057 +$402 (+61%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Iran leadership change by June 30? Jun 13 $781 +$2,376 +304%
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Jun 13 $51 +$17 +33%
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $125 +$431 +346%
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? Jun 13 $537 +$46 +9%
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Jun 13 $8 −$1 -14%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? Jun 13 $564 +$719 +128%
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31? Jun 13 $108 −$38 -35%
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Jun 13 $111 +$15 +13%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on Jun 12 $337 +$17 +5%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.2T and $1.4T at market close on Jun 12 $33 +$190 +574%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on Jun 12 $149 +$332 +224%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T? Jun 12 $2,112 +$86 +4%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? Jun 12 $1,199 +$103 +9%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Jun 12 $3,258 +$582 +18%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T? Jun 12 $1,222 +$35 +3%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T? Jun 12 $1,649 +$76 +5%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T? Jun 12 $1,323 +$49 +4%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? Jun 12 $630 +$120 +19%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? Jun 12 $1,625 +$1,658 +102%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? Jun 12 $675 +$243 +36%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Jun 12 $1,400 +$713 +51%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? Jun 12 $365 +$12 +3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 12 $1 +$1 +71%
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30? Jun 12 $19 −$14 -74%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Jun 12 $153 −$1 -0%
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO Jun 12 $4 +$2 +56%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on Jun 12 $16 +$101 +639%
Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Jun 12 $2 +$13 +591%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 12 $19 −$2 -10%
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$5,000 in June? Jun 12 $1 +$20 +1567%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? Jun 12 $21 +$3 +16%
Iran coup attempt by June 30? Jun 12 $71 +$27 +38%
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 15? Jun 12 $9 +$22 +249%
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Jun 12 $19 +$13 +68%
Will Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? Jun 12 $4 +$37 +1020%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? Jun 12 $47 +$9 +19%
Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026? Jun 12 $37 +$33 +91%
Will Camilo Santana finish in second place in the first round of the 2 Jun 12 $4 +$70 +1749%
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026? Jun 12 $15 +$64 +432%
Will Jakub Menšík be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? Jun 12 $2 +$250 +14031%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T? Jun 12 $941 −$155 -16%
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect Jun 12 $36,967 +$1,660 +4%
Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 12 $107 +$18 +17%
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 12 $788 +$54 +7%
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? Jun 12 $261 +$38 +15%
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 12 $200 −$2 -1%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Jun 12 $317 +$1,135 +358%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? Jun 12 $781 +$11 +2%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? Jun 12 $1,048 +$1,400 +134%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? Jun 12 $22 −$13 -56%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 46% +$14,365
politics 21% +$1,930
world 12% +$6,256
tech 11% +$5,687
finance 4% +$1,122
sports 3% +$285
crypto 1% +$146
economics 1% +$26
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June? BUY Yes 4¢ $7 3m
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exa SELL No 93¢ $37 12m
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? SELL No 98¢ $244 16m
Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027? SELL Yes 6¢ $2 17m
Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? SELL No 93¢ $6 17m
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 32¢ $12 20m
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 32¢ $2 21m
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? SELL Yes 24¢ $1 24m
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? BUY No 20¢ $4 24m
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL Yes 4¢ $33 27m
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? SELL No 41¢ $32 40m
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? SELL No 21¢ $13 53m
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 31¢ $4 55m
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? SELL No 21¢ $0 56m
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? SELL No 21¢ $2 57m
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? SELL No 21¢ $21 58m
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? SELL No 21¢ $3 59m
Iran Nuke before 2027? SELL No 92¢ $92 1h
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? BUY No 91¢ $36 1h
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last E BUY No 68¢ $2 1h
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? SELL No 21¢ $21 1h
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? BUY No 84¢ $134 1h
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? SELL No 21¢ $21 1h
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? SELL No 21¢ $3 1h
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? SELL Yes 30¢ $14 1h
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June? BUY Yes 4¢ $5 1h
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY Yes 61¢ $70 1h
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? SELL No 67¢ $6 1h
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? SELL Yes 30¢ $23 1h
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European countr BUY Yes 6¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +66%
net ROI/market (all)+144.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 67 +169.8% +144.1% 82% 66% +11.5%
≤30d 67 +169.8% +144.1% 82% 66% +11.5%
≤90d 67 +169.8% +144.1% 82% 66% +11.5%
all 67 +169.8% +144.1% 82% 66% +11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover480.8 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +144.1% 66% +11.5%
10% +120.7% 52% +0.9%
15% ← realistic here +99.4% 49% -8.9%
20% +79.9% 43% -17.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $138,475.57 · official $141,143.58 · 3500 history records