Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T23:09:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
0A 0x0a6c…7e41 crypto 1394 markets active 0h ago coverage 36d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 35d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (58 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)
Total PnL +$37,703 (+60%) realized +$37,703 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +48% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +14% what you keep after slip
Net edge+14%after slip
Net WR70%break-even
Win rate71%988W / 404L
Drawdown9%max
Avg bet$45per market
Trades / day58.5pace
Kalshi-fit75%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 36d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 84% +$11,338
other 16% +$2,679
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (58 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +70%
net ROI/market (all)+34.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 179 +97.7% +78.8% 64% 63% +41.9%
≤30d 1145 +50.7% +36.3% 71% 70% +13.6%
≤90d 1392 +48.4% +34.3% 71% 70% +7.9%
all 1392 +48.4% +34.3% 71% 70% +7.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover58.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +34.3% 70% +7.9%
10% ← realistic here +21.4% 69% -2.4%
15% +9.7% 61% -11.8%
20% -1.1% 42% -20.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +22% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
1% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +48% · $-wt +22% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +41% → late +56% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$32 vs −$45 · ×0.73 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.78 per $1 lost it wins $1.78
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

36d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$37,703
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses988 / 404
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1392 / 1394
History coverage36d ⚠
Avg bet$45
Trades / day58.5
Drawdown9%
Kalshi-fit75%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1392 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 26 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 26 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 26 $50 −$50 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 26 $50 +$82 +164%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 26 $11 +$12 +113%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 26 $50 +$54 +108%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 26 $21 +$19 +93%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 26 $21 +$19 +93%
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 26 $3 +$3 +101%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 26 $21 +$20 +93%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 26 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 26 $50 +$50 +100%
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 26 $36 −$36 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 26 $48 +$50 +103%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 26 $32 +$42 +132%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 26 $21 +$29 +134%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 26 $8 +$9 +119%
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 26 $22 −$22 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 26 $50 +$85 +169%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 26 $51 −$51 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 26 $3 +$2 +93%
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 26 $1 +$4 +296%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 26 $5 +$5 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 26 $20 +$20 +101%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 26 $14 +$14 +96%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 26 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 26 $20 +$30 +151%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 25 $20 +$19 +97%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 25 $4 +$5 +134%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 25 $5 +$5 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 25 $3 +$4 +147%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 25 $3 +$3 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 25 $4 +$4 +93%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 25 $7 +$16 +208%
BNB Up or Down - June 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 25 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 25, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 25 $20 +$19 +97%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 25 $20 +$76 +378%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 25 $16 −$16 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 25 $20 −$20 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 25 $5 +$5 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 25 $4 +$6 +146%
BNB Up or Down - June 24, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 25 $4 +$6 +185%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 25 $3 +$3 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 25 $20 +$24 +122%
BNB Up or Down - June 24, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 25 $5 +$6 +126%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 25 $1 +$1 +119%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 19m
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $9 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $50 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $50 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $11 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $50 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $21 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $21 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $21 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $50 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $36 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $6 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $43 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $32 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $8 12h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $21 12h
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $22 13h
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $50 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $51 15h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 15h
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 17h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 20h
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $20 20h
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $14 21h
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $0 21h
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $20 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $20 24h
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $4 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records