Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:28:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0A
0x0a63…fc03
sports · 138 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$319,670 -47%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$316,495 · open −$3,175
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,914
Realized−$316,495
Unrealized−$3,175
Win rate (resolved)14%
Wins / losses68 / 412
Whale WR (big bets)38%
Est. fees paid−$7,801
Open positions4
Markets (closed)480 / 138
History coverage32d
Avg bet$4,894
Trades / day104.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 4 History 480 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$355,683
7 days−$361,255
14 days−$362,443
30 days−$293,403
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 3¢ $2,637 $2,878 +$241 (+9%)
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 10¢ 4¢ $59 $23 −$35 (-60%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 14¢ 0¢ $2,530 $9 −$2,521 (-100%)
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Cloud9 12¢ 0¢ $864 $4 −$860 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2 MOUZ 47¢ 0¢ $2,208 $0 −$2,208 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Anyones Legend 22¢ 0¢ $7,151 $0 −$7,151 (-100%)
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-17? No 15¢ 0¢ $3,344 $0 −$3,344 (-100%)
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? No 23¢ 0¢ $8,372 $0 −$8,372 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy (BO5) Legacy 39¢ 0¢ $78 $0 −$78 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage FOKUS 24¢ 0¢ $1,209 $0 −$1,209 (-100%)
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Casper Ruud Casper Ruud 47¢ 0¢ $3,316 $0 −$3,316 (-100%)
Steelers vs. Lions Lions 22¢ 0¢ $195 $0 −$195 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 DN SOOPers 4¢ 0¢ $118 $0 −$118 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 Legacy 40¢ 0¢ $1,482 $0 −$1,482 (-100%)
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage MOUZ 35¢ 0¢ $689 $0 −$689 (-100%)
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage Tundra Esports 58¢ 0¢ $1,327 $0 −$1,327 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs Spirit 73¢ 0¢ $3,712 $0 −$3,712 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs FURIA 13¢ 0¢ $470 $0 −$470 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) G2 14¢ 0¢ $212 $0 −$212 (-100%)
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09? No 21¢ 0¢ $663 $0 −$663 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx Casper Ruud 57¢ 0¢ $8,657 $0 −$8,657 (-100%)
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner LYON 19¢ 0¢ $190 $0 −$190 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Passion UA (BO3) Passion UA 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $199 $0 −$199 (-100%)
Bucks vs. Lakers Lakers 42¢ 0¢ $805 $0 −$805 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2 Jun 13 $2,208 −$2,208 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 13 $7,151 −$7,151 -100%
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-17? Jun 13 $3,344 −$3,344 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy (BO5) Jun 13 $78 −$78 -100%
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage Jun 13 $1,209 −$1,209 -100%
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Casper Ruud Jun 13 $3,316 −$3,316 -100%
Steelers vs. Lions Jun 13 $195 −$195 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 13 $118 −$118 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 Jun 13 $1,482 −$1,482 -100%
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stag Jun 13 $689 −$689 -100%
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage Jun 13 $1,327 −$1,327 -100%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs Jun 13 $3,712 −$3,712 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs Jun 13 $470 −$470 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) Jun 13 $212 −$212 -100%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09? Jun 13 $663 −$494 -74%
Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx Jun 13 $8,657 −$8,657 -100%
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $190 −$190 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Passion UA (BO3) Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? Jun 13 $199 −$199 -100%
Bucks vs. Lakers Jun 13 $805 −$805 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 13 $640 −$640 -100%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Jun 13 $877 −$877 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $212 −$212 -100%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 13 $617 −$617 -100%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Team Falcons (BO3) Jun 13 $98 −$98 -100%
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1 Jun 13 $725 −$725 -100%
Delray Beach Open: Sebastian Korda vs Casper Ruud Jun 13 $1,215 −$1,215 -100%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $170 −$163 -96%
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season Jun 13 $1,499 −$1,499 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Jun 13 $395 −$395 -100%
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-03? Jun 13 $3,400 −$3,400 -100%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 Jun 13 $1,530 −$1,530 -100%
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs Vitality (BO3) Jun 13 $72 −$72 -100%
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs FlyQuest (BO1) Jun 13 $454 −$454 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Gr Jun 13 $715 −$715 -100%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A Jun 13 $6,283 −$6,283 -100%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs G2 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1 Jun 13 $2,429 −$2,429 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage Jun 13 $578 −$578 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Jun 13 $2,067 −$2,067 -100%
LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Group Stage Jun 13 $988 −$988 -100%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO1) Jun 13 $111 −$111 -100%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season Jun 13 $119 −$119 -100%
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Grou Jun 13 $917 −$917 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $671 −$671 -100%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1 Jun 13 $237 −$237 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playo Jun 13 $376 −$376 -100%
LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming (BO3) Jun 13 $751 −$751 -100%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $680 −$680 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Passion UA (BO3) Jun 13 $389 −$389 -100%
Counter-Strike: K27 vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Jun 13 $155 −$155 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 84% −$22,554
other 16% +$99,081
world 0% −$1,420
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs BUY Cloud9 11¢ $26 1h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs BUY Cloud9 12¢ $9 1h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs BUY Cloud9 12¢ $3 1h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs BUY Cloud9 12¢ $11 1h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs BUY Cloud9 12¢ $12 1h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs BUY Cloud9 12¢ $5 1h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs BUY Cloud9 12¢ $0 1h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs BUY Cloud9 12¢ $110 1h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs BUY Cloud9 12¢ $29 1h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs BUY Cloud9 12¢ $54 1h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs BUY Cloud9 12¢ $4 1h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs BUY Cloud9 12¢ $600 1h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs BUY Cloud9 12¢ $1 1h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs BUY Cloud9 12¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 20¢ $764 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 20¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 20¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 20¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 20¢ $25 2h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 20¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 20¢ $0 2h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 20¢ $20 2h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 20¢ $6 2h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 20¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 20¢ $28 2h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 4¢ $360 2h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 5¢ $582 2h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 5¢ $64 2h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 7¢ $120 2h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 7¢ $468 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-66.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 368 -85.0% -86.4% 3% 3% -75.6%
≤30d 463 -65.3% -68.6% 13% 13% -36.5%
≤90d 480 -62.9% -66.4% 14% 14% -36.4%
all 480 -62.9% -66.4% 14% 14% -36.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover104.3 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -66.4% 14% -36.4%
10% -69.6% 13% -42.5%
15% ← realistic here -72.5% 12% -48.0%
20% -75.2% 10% -53.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,914.47 · official $2,925.80 (match) · 3500 history records