trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +39.7% | +26.4% | 60% | 40% | -9.0% |
| ≤30d | 10 | +20.6% | +9.1% | 80% | 20% | -9.0% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +20.6% | +9.1% | 80% | 20% | -9.0% |
| all | 21 | +6.1% | -4.0% | 81% | 14% | -10.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -4.0% | 14% | -10.0% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -13.2% | 10% | -18.6% |
| 15% | -21.6% | 10% | -26.5% |
| 20% | -29.3% | 10% | -33.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 52¢ | 54¢ | $5,707 | $5,941 | +$233 (+4%) |
| Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance | Netherlands | 60¢ | 58¢ | $5,068 | $4,933 | −$135 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw? AND Will Ghana win on 2026-06- | Jun 28 | $1,177 | +$3,825 | +325% |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 28 | $2,899 | +$2,122 | +73% |
| Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cu | Jun 27 | $2,095 | −$2,059 | -98% |
| Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 27 | $3,802 | −$3,775 | -99% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $9,990 | +$10 | +0% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $981 | +$19 | +2% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $1,977 | +$23 | +1% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 21 | $961 | +$39 | +4% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $9,971 | +$29 | +0% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $9,999 | +$13 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February? | Mar 29 | $611 | −$611 | -100% |
| Pacers vs. Bucks | Feb 07 | $5,906 | −$57 | -1% |
| Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-02-06? | Feb 07 | $1,175 | +$14 | +1% |
| Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-06? | Feb 06 | $175 | +$24 | +14% |
| Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-05? | Feb 06 | $4,995 | +$5 | +0% |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-05? | Feb 05 | $294 | +$5 | +2% |
| KHL: Severstal Cherepovets vs. SKA St. Petersburg | Feb 05 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| KHL: Lada Togliatti vs. Dinamo Minsk | Feb 05 | $200 | $0 | +0% |
| KHL: Sibir Novosibirsk vs. Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | Feb 04 | $78 | +$5 | +6% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-03? | Feb 04 | $5,005 | +$5 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 January 26-1? | Jan 31 | $5,000 | +$5 | +0% |