Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:35:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0A
0x0a55…3e6b
crypto · 48 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$99 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$52 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$12
Realized+$52
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses27 / 20
Open positions1
Markets (closed)47 / 48
History coverage1d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day191.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 47 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$52
7 days+$52
14 days+$52
30 days+$52
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 54¢ 68¢ $9 $12 +$2 (+27%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 31¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 25¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 66¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Down 22¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 25¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 23¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 22¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 32¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 22¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 46¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Down 44¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 20¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 36¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 33¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 53¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 14¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 43¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 50¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $17 +$4 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $17 +$6 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $17 +$7 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$16 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $18 −$5 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $18 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $17 +$9 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $22 +$20 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $17 +$13 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $17 +$6 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $18 +$16 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$6 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $29 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $27 +$20 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$19 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $49 −$18 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $22 +$13 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $27 −$25 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $41 −$10 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $23 +$7 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $22 +$14 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$7 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $24 +$46 +192%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$6 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $36 −$35 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $27 +$26 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $54 +$39 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $24 +$23 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $48 +$10 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$9 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$14 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$4 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$13 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$55
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $24 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $10 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $13 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $21 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 85¢ $23 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $17 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $17 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $12 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $3 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $12 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $14 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Up 86¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Down 51¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-16.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 47 -7.9% -16.7% 57% 53% -3.8%
≤30d 47 -7.9% -16.7% 57% 53% -3.8%
≤90d 47 -7.9% -16.7% 57% 53% -3.8%
all 47 -7.9% -16.7% 57% 53% -3.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover191.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.7% 53% -3.8%
10% ← realistic here -24.7% 51% -13.0%
15% -32.0% 40% -21.4%
20% -38.6% 30% -29.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11.68 · official $6.90 · 208 history records