Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T05:17:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
0A 0x0a55…b6ac crypto 368 markets active 7d ago coverage 64d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$79 (-2%) realized −$79 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR35%break-even
Win rate37%137W / 231L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$11per market
Trades / day16.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$769
14 days−$576
30 days−$556
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$320
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-17.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 172 -64.5% -67.9% 16% 15% -49.8%
≤30d 184 -49.8% -54.6% 22% 21% -36.1%
≤90d 368 -9.3% -17.9% 37% 35% -17.2%
all 368 -9.3% -17.9% 37% 35% -17.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover16.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.9% 35% -17.2%
10% -25.8% 30% -25.2%
15% -33.0% 27% -32.4%
20% -39.5% 23% -39.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
7% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +31% → late -50% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$8 vs −$6 · ×1.31 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.78 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

64d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$79
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses137 / 231
Open positions0
Markets (closed)368 / 368
History coverage64d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day16.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 368 Trades
no open positions (16 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 10 $89 −$89 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 10 $18 −$5 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 10 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 10 $19 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$3 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 10 $16 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 10 $18 +$15 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 10 $48 +$26 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 10 $24 +$22 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 10 $28 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 10 $41 +$15 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 10 $111 −$4 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 10 $76 +$9 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 10 $6 +$5 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 10 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 10 $6 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 10 $8 +$3 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$1 -33%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $89 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 54¢ $12 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $21 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 27¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $20 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $18 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Down 39¢ $6 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Down 39¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET SELL Down 25¢ $14 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $11 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $21 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Up 41¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Down 38¢ $11 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $2 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1276 history records