Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T14:39:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0A
0x0a44…5770
sports · 29 markets active 0h ago
2.5score
+$709 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,779 · open −$2,069
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Net worth$2
Realized+$2,779
Unrealized−$2,069
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses14 / 14
Whale WR (big bets)71%
Est. fees paid−$115
Open positions1
Markets (closed)28 / 29
History coverage106d
Avg bet$533
Trades / day1.9
Drawdown65%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 1 History 28 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,069
7 days+$1,069
14 days+$1,069
30 days+$993
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 44¢ $2,071 $2 −$2,069 (-100%)
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-04-03? Yes 50¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Ignacio Bahamondes vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims) Ignacio Bahamondes 72¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Virna Jandiroba vs. Tabatha Ricci (Women's Strawweight, Main Card) Tabatha Ricci 46¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs Cloud9 New York (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 2 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers Cloud9 New York 17¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 43¢ $874 $0 −$874 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Guilherme Pat (Heavyweight, Prelims) Guilherme Pat 49¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-04-03? Yes 52¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
T20 World Cup: England vs New Zealand New Zealand 49¢ $1,980 $0 −$1,980 (-100%)
Naples: Daniel Altmaier vs Miguel Damas Miguel Damas 37¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner Gen.G 57¢ $540 $0 −$540 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs ASTRAL (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Group Stage ASTRAL 41¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs Heroic 32¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April? No 67¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $870 +$412 +47%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $6 +$1 +13%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $128 +$57 +45%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2,060 +$599 +29%
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Grou May 27 $104 +$70 +67%
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs May 27 $11 −$11 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner May 27 $889 −$874 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner May 27 $547 −$540 -99%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series May 27 $1,394 +$1,306 +94%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs ASTRAL (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series May 26 $28 −$28 -98%
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers Bangalore Apr 11 $1,057 +$1,016 +96%
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Jannik Sinner Apr 10 $8 +$1 +14%
UFC Fight Night: Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam (Bantamweight, Main Ca Apr 10 $13 +$10 +76%
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April? Apr 03 $10 −$10 -98%
UFC Fight Night: Virna Jandiroba vs. Tabatha Ricci (Women's Strawweigh Apr 03 $2 −$2 -98%
UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Guilherme Pat (Heavyweight, Preli Apr 03 $12 −$12 -98%
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-04-03? Apr 03 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-04-03? Apr 03 $8 −$8 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Ricky Simon vs. Adrian Yanez (Bantamweight, Prelims) Apr 03 $7 −$1 -11%
Naples: Daniel Altmaier vs Miguel Damas Mar 24 $4 −$4 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Ignacio Bahamondes vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Pr Mar 24 $11 −$11 -100%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffs Mar 24 $3 +$7 +233%
Chile Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Luciano Darderi Mar 24 $9 +$4 +49%
Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs Cloud9 New York (BO5) - Call of Duty L Mar 01 $2 −$2 -100%
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Pakistan Feb 28 $4,161 +$2,772 +67%
Cavaliers vs. Pistons Feb 28 $10 +$4 +43%
Pune: Manoj Dhamne Manas vs Duje Ajdukovic Feb 27 $14 +$10 +67%
T20 World Cup: England vs New Zealand Feb 27 $1,980 −$1,980 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$736
other 0% −$17
crypto 0% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner SELL Team Falcons 100¢ $1,282 14m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 27¢ $204 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 28¢ $114 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 28¢ $290 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 59¢ $120 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 58¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 59¢ $113 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 58¢ $1,244 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 67¢ $744 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $9 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $116 2h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 88¢ $6 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 69¢ $128 20h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 77¢ $488 20h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 76¢ $99 20h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 77¢ $1,473 20h
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs BUY Heroic 32¢ $11 17d
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 45¢ $22 17d
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 45¢ $4 17d
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 45¢ $183 17d
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 42¢ $673 17d
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 41¢ $7 17d
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 57¢ $531 17d
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 56¢ $16 17d
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Grou BUY Lavked 59¢ $45 17d
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Grou BUY Lavked 59¢ $4 17d
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Grou BUY Lavked 59¢ $54 17d
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series BUY KOLESIE 53¢ $626 17d
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series BUY KOLESIE 53¢ $53 17d
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series BUY KOLESIE 53¢ $11 17d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-21.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +33.6% +20.9% 100% 100% +22.0%
≤30d 10 -10.4% -19.0% 60% 60% +5.4%
≤90d 23 -15.0% -23.1% 48% 48% +15.4%
all 28 -13.2% -21.5% 50% 50% +9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.5% 50% +9.3%
10% -29.0% 43% -1.1%
15% -35.8% 39% -10.7%
20% -42.1% 25% -19.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.35 · official $2.35 (match) · 220 history records