trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 2 | -1.2% | -10.6% | 0% | 0% | -10.5% |
| ≤90d | 5 | +1.2% | -8.4% | 40% | 0% | -8.8% |
| all | 12 | -15.9% | -23.9% | 33% | 0% | -54.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -23.9% | 0% | -54.6% |
| 10% | -31.2% | 0% | -58.9% |
| 15% | -37.8% | 0% | -62.9% |
| 20% | -43.9% | 0% | -66.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $559 | $564 | +$6 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? | Jun 05 | $299 | −$7 | -2% |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamen | May 27 | $339 | $0 | +0% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 11 | $345 | +$8 | +2% |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | Apr 18 | $844 | $0 | +0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | Mar 26 | $260 | +$16 | +6% |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Mar 18 | $338 | +$6 | +2% |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 13 | $206 | $0 | -0% |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 12 | $70 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 08 | $52 | $0 | +0% |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 740k+ BTC by March 31, 2026? | Mar 04 | $20 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 7? | Feb 07 | $1,530 | −$1,530 | -100% |
| XRP Up or Down on January 24? | Jan 24 | $1,268 | −$1,268 | -100% |