Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:00:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0A
0x0a29…d03a
crypto · 101 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$22 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$21 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized+$21
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses69 / 31
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)100 / 101
History coverage242d
Avg bet$71
Trades / day2.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 1 History 100 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 65¢ 100¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+55%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: FlyQuest vs T1 (BO1) FlyQuest 20¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs Team Falcons 65¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playof Jan 25 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Oct 28 $90 +$10 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Oct 28 $70 +$10 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Oct 28 $90 +$10 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Oct 28 $20 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Oct 28 $20 −$19 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Oct 27 $25 −$15 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Oct 27 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Oct 27 $43 +$57 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Oct 27 $44 +$16 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Oct 27 $40 −$39 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Oct 27 $128 +$13 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Oct 27 $75 −$75 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Oct 27 $80 −$79 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Oct 27 $10 −$9 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Oct 27 $90 +$10 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Oct 27 $90 +$10 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Oct 27 $90 +$10 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Oct 27 $85 +$15 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Oct 27 $75 −$75 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Oct 27 $70 +$30 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Oct 27 $90 +$10 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Oct 27 $25 −$9 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Oct 27 $80 +$20 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Oct 27 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Oct 27 $90 +$10 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Oct 27 $90 +$10 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Oct 27 $85 +$15 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Oct 27 $45 −$36 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Oct 27 $90 +$10 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Oct 27 $25 −$12 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Oct 26 $90 +$10 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Oct 23 $30 −$26 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Oct 23 $90 +$20 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Oct 23 $90 +$10 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Oct 23 $90 +$10 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Oct 23 $90 +$11 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Oct 22 $315 −$54 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Oct 22 $90 +$10 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Oct 22 $58 −$15 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Oct 22 $76 +$24 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Oct 22 $90 +$10 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Oct 22 $30 −$24 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Oct 22 $48 +$32 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Oct 22 $90 +$10 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Oct 22 $90 +$10 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Oct 22 $30 −$29 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Oct 22 $90 +$10 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Oct 22 $12 +$5 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Oct 22 $90 +$10 +11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% +$37
other 2% +$4
sports 0% −$19
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 60¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 70¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Monte 19¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 14¢ $1 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playof BUY Team Falcons 65¢ $10 139d
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $26 228d
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $9 228d
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $55 228d
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET SELL Down 80¢ $5 228d
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET SELL Down 80¢ $8 228d
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET SELL Down 80¢ $40 228d
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET SELL Down 80¢ $8 228d
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET SELL Down 80¢ $19 228d
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $70 228d
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $50 228d
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 228d
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $18 228d
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 228d
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $11 228d
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 228d
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $4 228d
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 22¢ $1 228d
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 22¢ $1 228d
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 22¢ $20 228d
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $20 228d
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $1 228d
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $2 228d
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $6 228d
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $6 228d
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $6 228d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-23.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d no closed markets
all 100 -15.2% -23.3% 69% 59% -8.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -23.3% 59% -8.8%
10% -30.6% 12% -17.6%
15% -37.3% 8% -25.5%
20% -43.5% 3% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.09 · official $3.09 (match) · 663 history records