Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:55:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0A
0x0a28…4e3b
other · 1465 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$149 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$142 · open −$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$142
Unrealized−$8
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses651 / 775
Est. fees paid−$46
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1426 / 1465
History coverage162d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day18.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit49%
Chart Positions 1 History 1426 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$23
7 days−$19
14 days+$39
30 days+$77
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-17? Yes 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5 Over 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. Athletic Club end in a draw? No 42¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5 Over 23¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5 Over 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
El Mokawloon El Arab SC vs. El Ittihad SC El Iskandary: O/U 2.5 Over 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-02-15? No 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
SE Palmeiras vs. Club Cerro Porteño: O/U 3.5 Over 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Wales vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5 Over 37¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Brentford FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5 Over 15¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Racing Club win on 2026-04-29? Yes 61¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-05-20? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
FC Hermannstadt vs. FCSB: O/U 3.5 Over 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Odisha FC win on 2026-04-28? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
UD Las Palmas vs. Málaga CF: O/U 1.5 Over 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-10? Yes 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 2.5 Over 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Georgia win on 2026-06-02? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Aalesunds FK win on 2026-05-29? Yes 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Racing Club de Lens vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 4.5 Over 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 1.5 Over 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BetBoom Team 66¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-17? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-03? Yes 50¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $12 −$5 -40%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $4 −$4 -99%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $50 −$23 -47%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Jun 13 $7 −$7 -99%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $4 +$4 +109%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $4 +$4 +122%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $4 +$6 +128%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $2 +$2 +114%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $30 +$5 +16%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $6 +$6 +109%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $9 −$9 -99%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $4 +$3 +69%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Jun 12 $1 +$1 +54%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $2 +$4 +158%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $17 +$5 +32%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $4 +$2 +57%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $4 +$1 +26%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $5 +$2 +32%
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Ceará SC win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Avaí FC win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Will Malaga CF achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026- Jun 10 $8 −$1 -10%
Spread: England (-2.5) Jun 10 $5 −$5 -99%
Spread: England (-1.5) Jun 10 $4 −$4 -98%
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Will SD Almeria achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026 Jun 10 $7 +$3 +49%
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Will UD Almería win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $2 +$4 +194%
Will Ireland win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
France vs. Ireland: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Liberia vs. Sierra Leone: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $3 +$4 +124%
Will Togo win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $8 +$2 +20%
Will Sierra Leone win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $2 $0 +1%
Will San Marino win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $3 +$2 +80%
Belarus vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $4 +$6 +130%
Belarus vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $1 +$9 +725%
Will Belarus win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $3 +$7 +249%
DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $3 +$9 +354%
Will Chile win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Moldova win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 49% −$63
sports 48% −$62
crypto 2% −$12
world 1% −$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 29¢ $8 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 13¢ $7 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 30¢ $2 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 10¢ $2 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 34¢ $2 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 21¢ $5 2h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 21¢ $7 2h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 33¢ $3 3h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 60¢ $15 4h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 60¢ $6 4h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Spirit 40¢ $12 4h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 88¢ $0 5h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 88¢ $18 5h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 88¢ $9 5h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 31¢ $2 7h
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY BetBoom Team 66¢ $7 7h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 39¢ $4 7h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 9¢ $1 9h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Aurora Gaming 100¢ $8 10h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 31¢ $2 10h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $8 12h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Aurora Gaming 47¢ $4 12h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 100¢ $10 12h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 45¢ $4 14h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 43¢ $4 14h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $2 27h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 100¢ $35 27h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 36¢ $2 28h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 86¢ $30 31h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 100¢ $12 33h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 76 -1.9% -11.3% 42% 42% -14.4%
≤30d 381 +6.7% -3.5% 42% 41% -2.6%
≤90d 928 -1.4% -10.8% 41% 41% -11.4%
all 1426 -0.3% -9.8% 46% 45% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.8% 45% -11.8%
10% -18.4% 42% -20.2%
15% -26.3% 38% -28.0%
20% -33.5% 34% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.01 · official $0.01 (match) · 3039 history records