Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:45:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0A
0x0a1b…0a75
other · 152 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$82 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$82 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$43
Realized−$82
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)7%
Wins / losses11 / 140
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions1
Markets (closed)151 / 152
History coverage94d
Avg bet$155
Trades / day6.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit68%
Chart Positions 1 History 151 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$14
14 days−$29
30 days−$49
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No 98¢ 98¢ $43 $43 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Jun 12 $267 −$2 -1%
Will Cody Gakpo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $56 $0 -0%
Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Jun 12 $32 $0 +0%
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? Jun 11 $101 $0 -0%
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? Jun 11 $52 $0 -0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 11 $451 −$3 -1%
Will MOUZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 10 $52 $0 -0%
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 10 $509 −$3 -1%
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $253 $0 -0%
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 09 $155 −$1 -1%
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 09 $162 $0 -0%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 07 $56 $0 -0%
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in Jun 07 $26 $0 -1%
Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $49 $0 -1%
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 06 $62 $0 -1%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June Jun 05 $42 −$2 -4%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? Jun 05 $64 −$1 -2%
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 05 $212 −$1 -1%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T? Jun 05 $50 $0 -1%
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 05 $339 −$2 -1%
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Jun 04 $97 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 04 $48 −$1 -2%
Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Jun 03 $112 −$1 -1%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 3 Jun 03 $55 $0 -0%
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in Jun 02 $102 −$2 -2%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Jun 02 $112 $0 -0%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 02 $206 −$1 -0%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 01 $212 $0 -0%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 01 $273 −$1 -0%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 01 $42 $0 -0%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 01 $95 $0 -0%
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 31 $161 $0 -0%
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? May 31 $296 −$1 -0%
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 31 $109 −$1 -1%
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? May 31 $102 $0 +0%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 30 $65 $0 -0%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 30 $210 −$1 -0%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 30 $93 $0 -0%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 30 $106 $0 -0%
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? May 29 $158 −$1 -1%
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 29 $306 −$1 -0%
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? May 29 $52 $0 -0%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? May 28 $118 $0 -0%
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 27 $186 −$1 -1%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 26 $182 −$1 -0%
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 26 $54 −$1 -2%
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 25 $58 −$1 -2%
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? May 24 $57 $0 +0%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 23 $249 −$1 -0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May? May 23 $130 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 36% −$25
other 29% −$25
sports 16% −$10
world 6% −$6
crypto 5% −$4
finance 3% −$3
tech 2% −$6
economics 1% −$1
culture 1% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 98¢ $43 59m
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? SELL No 97¢ $52 1h
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? BUY No 97¢ $52 5h
Will Cody Gakpo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $56 6h
Will Cody Gakpo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $56 12h
Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? SELL No 94¢ $32 12h
Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? BUY No 93¢ $32 16h
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 97¢ $50 17h
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 98¢ $50 21h
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 96¢ $52 21h
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 96¢ $52 27h
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 96¢ $55 28h
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 96¢ $55 36h
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 96¢ $46 37h
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 96¢ $22 42h
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 96¢ $25 43h
Will MOUZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL No 98¢ $52 43h
Will MOUZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY No 98¢ $52 47h
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 97¢ $55 2d
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 97¢ $55 2d
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 98¢ $62 2d
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 98¢ $63 2d
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 96¢ $56 2d
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 96¢ $56 2d
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 96¢ $60 2d
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 96¢ $60 3d
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL No 95¢ $56 3d
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 94¢ $24 5d
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 94¢ $31 5d
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 98¢ $56 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 -0.7% -10.1% 6% 0% -10.1%
≤30d 76 -0.5% -10.0% 4% 0% -9.9%
≤90d 147 -0.4% -9.9% 7% 0% -9.8%
all 151 -0.4% -9.9% 7% 0% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.9% 0% -9.8%
10% -18.5% 0% -18.5%
15% -26.4% 0% -26.3%
20% -33.6% 0% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $43.31 · official $43.31 (match) · 660 history records