Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:20:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0A
0x0a0d…9d2c
other · 11 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
+$2 +12%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized+$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)17%
Wins / losses1 / 5
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions5
Markets (closed)6 / 11
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day12.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit18%
Chart Positions 5 History 6 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$1
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? Yes 13¢ 12¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-4%)
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? Yes 25¢ 24¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? Yes 29¢ 28¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-5%)
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? Yes 23¢ 22¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-7%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $1 +$5 +442%
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? Jun 14 $5 −$1 -21%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $1 $0 -6%
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $1 $0 -6%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 88% +$1
sports 12% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 1h
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? BUY Yes 29¢ $1 1h
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 1h
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 14h
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 23¢ $1 14h
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? BUY Yes 25¢ $1 14h
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? SELL Yes 5¢ $4 14h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 16¢ $1 14h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 16¢ $1 14h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 14h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 14h
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 6¢ $5 30h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 18¢ $1 30h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 18¢ $1 30h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 30h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)+22.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +35.0% +22.1% 17% 17% +2.2%
≤30d 6 +35.0% +22.1% 17% 17% +2.2%
≤90d 6 +35.0% +22.1% 17% 17% +2.2%
all 6 +35.0% +22.1% 17% 17% +2.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +22.1% 17% +2.2%
10% +10.4% 17% -7.6%
15% -0.2% 17% -16.5%
20% -10.0% 17% -24.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.77 · official $5.77 (match) · 16 history records