Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T10:40:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
0A 0x0a03…0fe7 crypto 597 markets active 1h ago coverage 180d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$92 (+0%) realized +$92 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -14% what you keep after slip
Net edge-14%after slip
Net WR24%break-even
Win rate91%546W / 51L
Whale WR94%big bets
Drawdown89%max
Avg bet$97per market
Trades / day4.2pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit94%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days−$25
14 days−$78
30 days−$101
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 97% +$175
other 2% −$8
sports 1% +$20
weather 0% −$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-10.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 169 -0.0% -9.6% 95% 11% -11.7%
≤30d 278 -2.2% -11.5% 91% 17% -12.8%
≤90d 304 -2.7% -12.0% 90% 16% -15.5%
all 597 -1.0% -10.4% 91% 24% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover4.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.4% 24% -9.3%
10% -19.0% 6% -17.9%
15% -26.8% 1% -25.9%
20% -34.0% 0% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -7% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
73% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt +0% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR 94% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +1% → late -3% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$7 vs −$73 · ×0.1 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.05 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

180d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$92
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)91%
Wins / losses546 / 51
Whale WR (big bets)94%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)597 / 597
History coverage180d
Avg bet$97
Trades / day4.2
Drawdown89%
Kalshi-fit94%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 597 Trades
no open positions (33 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 19 $35 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 19 $35 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 19 $35 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 19 $35 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 4AM ET Jun 19 $35 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 19 $34 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 19 $34 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 19 $34 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 19 $34 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 19 $30 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 19 $30 +$2 +6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 19 $30 +$1 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 19 $30 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 19 $30 +$1 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 12AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +9%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +14%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +14%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +12%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +8%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +16%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 11AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +7%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +12%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +9%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 16? Jun 15 $1 $0 -1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $35 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $35 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $35 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $35 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 4AM ET SELL Up 100¢ $35 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 4AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $35 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $34 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $34 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $34 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $34 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $30 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $30 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $30 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $3 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $3 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $3 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $3 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $3 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 12AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $3 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1304 history records