Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:35:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0A
0x0a03…55cb
sports · 340 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$63 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$63 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$41
Realized−$63
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)7%
Wins / losses23 / 316
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions1
Markets (closed)339 / 340
History coverage647d
Avg bet$68
Trades / day1.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit74%
Chart Positions 1 History 339 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$24
14 days−$35
30 days−$48
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No 96¢ 96¢ $41 $41 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Jun 13 $118 $0 -0%
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $117 −$1 -0%
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $61 $0 +1%
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $13 $0 -1%
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $105 −$2 -2%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Jun 12 $153 −$2 -2%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $51 $0 -0%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Jun 11 $98 −$1 -1%
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 11 $171 −$3 -2%
Will Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Jun 10 $53 $0 -0%
Will Yassine Bounou record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA Worl Jun 10 $4 −$1 -18%
Will Turkiye reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Jun 10 $13 $0 -0%
Will a player representing Brazil be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FI Jun 09 $102 −$4 -4%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 09 $137 $0 -0%
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 09 $107 $0 -0%
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 08 $261 −$3 -1%
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? Jun 08 $49 −$3 -6%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June Jun 08 $63 −$2 -3%
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Jun 07 $171 −$2 -1%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 07 $56 $0 -0%
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 06 $61 $0 +0%
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Jun 06 $30 $0 -1%
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Jun 06 $44 $0 -0%
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 05 $128 −$1 -0%
Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 05 $34 $0 -0%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 05 $57 $0 -1%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Jun 04 $99 $0 -0%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 04 $175 −$1 -0%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 04 $199 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? Jun 03 $56 $0 -1%
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Jun 03 $56 $0 -0%
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2 Jun 02 $56 $0 -1%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 02 $91 $0 -0%
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 01 $91 −$1 -1%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 01 $380 −$1 -0%
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 01 $99 −$2 -2%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 01 $176 −$1 -0%
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 01 $227 −$2 -1%
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 31 $51 $0 -0%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? May 30 $94 −$2 -2%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet May 29 $343 −$1 -0%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 29 $102 $0 -0%
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 28 $49 $0 -0%
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 27 $116 −$1 -1%
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? May 27 $57 −$1 -1%
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 27 $46 −$1 -1%
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? May 26 $63 $0 +0%
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 26 $5 $0 -1%
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 25 $46 −$1 -2%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 25 $38 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 39% −$13
politics 26% −$15
other 23% −$21
economics 5% +$1
world 3% −$6
crypto 2% −$2
culture 1% −$4
tech 1% −$2
finance 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 96¢ $26 44m
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 96¢ $15 55m
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? SELL No 97¢ $59 1h
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? BUY No 97¢ $59 8h
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? SELL No 97¢ $59 8h
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? BUY No 97¢ $59 12h
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 94¢ $48 13h
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 94¢ $49 18h
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 96¢ $61 19h
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 95¢ $6 26h
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 95¢ $55 26h
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL No 94¢ $13 26h
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY No 95¢ $13 31h
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 92¢ $54 32h
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 93¢ $55 36h
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? SELL No 94¢ $47 36h
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? BUY No 96¢ $48 44h
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? SELL No 95¢ $48 45h
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? BUY No 95¢ $48 2d
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $51 2d
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $51 2d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL No 95¢ $51 2d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 96¢ $52 2d
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 92¢ $57 2d
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 93¢ $58 2d
Will Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup SELL Yes 96¢ $53 2d
Will Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup BUY Yes 96¢ $53 3d
Will Yassine Bounou record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA Worl SELL No 82¢ $3 3d
Will Yassine Bounou record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA Worl BUY No 98¢ $4 3d
Will Turkiye reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? SELL No 96¢ $13 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 20 -2.1% -11.4% 5% 0% -10.7%
≤30d 67 -1.0% -10.5% 6% 0% -10.2%
≤90d 67 -1.0% -10.5% 6% 0% -10.2%
all 339 -0.2% -9.7% 7% 0% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.8%
10% -18.4% 0% -18.4%
15% -26.3% 0% -26.3%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $41.20 · official $41.20 (match) · 1286 history records