Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:07:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

09
0x09fd…c70f
crypto · 2022 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$306 +11%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$306 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized+$306
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses1038 / 556
Open positions4
Markets (closed)1594 / 2022
History coverage4d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day657.1
Drawdown66%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 4 History 1594 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$107
7 days+$306
14 days+$306
30 days+$306
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Down 56¢ 78¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+38%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Down 62¢ 66¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+7%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 65¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+54%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 55¢ 28¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-48%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 67¢ 28¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-57%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 63¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+59%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$888
other 1% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 2m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 2m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 12m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 16m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 17m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 19m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 22m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 26m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 29m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 31m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 32m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 36m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +61%
net ROI/market (all)+10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1594 +21.7% +10.1% 65% 61% +2.4%
≤30d 1594 +21.7% +10.1% 65% 61% +2.4%
≤90d 1594 +21.7% +10.1% 65% 61% +2.4%
all 1594 +21.7% +10.1% 65% 61% +2.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover657.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +10.1% 61% +2.4%
10% ← realistic here -0.4% 57% -7.4%
15% -10.0% 48% -16.4%
20% -18.8% 38% -24.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.43 · official $3.40 · 3500 history records