Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:00:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

09
0x09fc…98a8
crypto · 144 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$189 -30%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$189 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$189
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)19%
Wins / losses28 / 116
Open positions0
Markets (closed)144 / 144
History coverage31d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day10.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit69%
Chart Positions 0 History 144 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$5
14 days−$19
30 days−$128
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 21, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 21, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 20, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 20, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 20, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 20, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 21, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 21, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 20, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 20, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 20, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 20, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 20, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 20, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 08 $2 −$1 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 06 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 06 $6 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 06 $6 −$5 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 05 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 05 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 04 $2 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 02 $4 −$2 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 02 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 02 $15 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 02 $7 −$6 -83%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 49°F or below on June 2? Jun 02 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET May 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET May 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET May 21 $1 +$2 +190%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET May 21 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET May 21 $1 −$1 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET May 21 $1 −$1 -94%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 21, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET May 21 $1 −$1 -94%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 21, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET May 21 $1 −$1 -94%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 21, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET May 21 $1 −$1 -94%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 21, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET May 21 $1 −$1 -94%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 21, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET May 21 $1 −$1 -94%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 21, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET May 21 $1 −$1 -94%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 21, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET May 21 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET May 21 $1 −$1 -94%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 21, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET May 21 $1 −$1 -99%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET May 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET May 21 $1 −$1 -94%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 21, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET May 21 $1 −$1 -94%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 20, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET May 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 20, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET May 21 $1 −$1 -94%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 20, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET May 21 $0 $0 -94%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 20, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET May 21 $1 −$1 -94%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET May 21 $1 −$1 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET May 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET May 21 $1 −$1 -94%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 20, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET May 21 $1 −$1 -99%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 20, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET May 21 $1 −$1 -94%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET May 21 $1 +$11 +1074%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 20, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET May 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 81% −$144
other 14% −$34
politics 3% −$10
tech 2% +$1
weather 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 86¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET SELL Down 84¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 10¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 23¢ $2 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 80¢ $3 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Down 87¢ $5 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET SELL Down 7¢ $0 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-48.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -34.7% -40.9% 40% 40% -35.1%
≤30d 141 -41.5% -47.1% 20% 15% -30.1%
≤90d 144 -42.7% -48.2% 19% 15% -36.9%
all 144 -42.7% -48.2% 19% 15% -36.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -48.2% 15% -36.9%
10% -53.1% 9% -42.9%
15% -57.7% 5% -48.4%
20% -61.8% 2% -53.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 340 history records