Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T00:36:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
09 0x09fa…c777 crypto 345 markets active 0h ago coverage 53d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$248 (+3%) realized +$248 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -17% what you keep after slip
Net edge-17%after slip
Net WR20%break-even
Win rate91%314W / 31L
Drawdown37%max
Avg bet$21per market
Trades / day8.4pace
Fees−$8est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$60
7 days+$105
14 days+$89
30 days+$108
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 76% +$110
sports 23% +$135
weather 1% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 193 +0.4% -9.2% 96% 7% -7.5%
≤30d 272 -0.2% -9.7% 94% 13% -7.8%
≤90d 345 -1.1% -10.5% 91% 20% -6.6%
all 345 -1.1% -10.5% 91% 20% -6.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover8.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.5% 20% -6.6%
10% -19.1% 6% -15.6%
15% -26.9% 3% -23.7%
20% -34.1% 1% -31.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 12% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
77% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt +3% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late +0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$9 · ×0.19 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.88 per $1 lost it wins $1.88
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

53d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$248
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)91%
Wins / losses314 / 31
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions0
Markets (closed)345 / 345
History coverage53d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day8.4
Drawdown37%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 345 Trades
no open positions (26 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 27 $60 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 27 $90 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 27 $90 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 27 $60 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 26 $60 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 26 $60 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 26 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 26 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 26 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 26 $30 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 26 $60 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 26 $60 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 26 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 26 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 26 $40 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 26 $40 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 26 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 26 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 26 $40 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 26 $60 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 26 $30 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 26 $30 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 26 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 26 $60 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 26 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 26 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 26 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 26 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 26 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 26 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 26 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 26 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 26 $40 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 26 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 26 $20 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 26 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 26 $40 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 26 $40 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 26 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 26 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 26 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 26 $40 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 26 $20 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 26 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 26 $40 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 26 $60 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 26 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 26 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 26 $40 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 26 $40 +$1 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $30 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $30 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $30 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $30 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $30 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $30 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $30 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $30 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $30 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $20 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $20 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $20 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $20 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 759 history records