Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T06:43:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5
score
09 0x09f6…73a4 crypto 342 markets active 1h ago coverage 14d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (73 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$893 (+13%) realized +$893 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -19% what you keep after slip
Net edge-19%after slip
Net WR43%break-even
Win rate48%163W / 179L
Drawdown40%max
Avg bet$20per market
Trades / day72.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$310
7 days+$650
14 days+$938
30 days+$925
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$925
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (73 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-4.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 179 -7.3% -16.1% 46% 44% +2.3%
≤30d 342 +5.1% -4.9% 48% 43% +3.7%
≤90d 342 +5.1% -4.9% 48% 43% +3.7%
all 342 +5.1% -4.9% 48% 43% +3.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover72.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.9% 43% +3.7%
10% ← realistic here -14.0% 39% -6.2%
15% -22.3% 35% -15.3%
20% -29.9% 30% -23.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +14% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
9% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +5% · $-wt +14% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +15% → late -5% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$19 vs −$12 · ×1.57 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.43 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

14d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$893
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses163 / 179
Open positions0
Markets (closed)342 / 342
History coverage14d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day72.6
Drawdown40%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 342 Trades
no open positions (174 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 24 $3 −$2 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 24 $23 +$27 +121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 24 $125 +$55 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 24 $30 −$15 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 24 $55 −$54 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 24 $138 +$162 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 24 $80 −$75 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 24 $79 +$56 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 24 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 24 $124 +$76 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 24 $20 −$18 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 24 $18 +$32 +184%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 24 $6 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 24 $29 +$21 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 24 $13 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 24 $78 +$72 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 24 $22 +$28 +131%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 24 $36 −$34 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 24 $225 +$125 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 24 $58 −$55 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 24 $93 −$87 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 24 $39 −$36 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 24 $31 +$29 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 24 $8 +$36 +461%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 24 $8 −$8 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 24 $16 −$10 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 24 $134 +$66 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 24 $63 +$37 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 24 $6 −$6 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 24 $10 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 23 $2 −$2 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 23 $12 −$12 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 23 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 23 $35 +$24 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 23 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 23 $16 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 23 $9 +$41 +456%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 23 $20 −$4 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 23 $6 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 23 $47 +$181 +385%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 23 $12 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 23 $36 −$34 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 23 $11 −$4 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 23 $4 −$4 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 23 $2 −$2 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 23 $5 −$4 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 23 $26 −$25 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 23 $31 −$31 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $3 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $14 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $8 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $8 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $6 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $39 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Down 14¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $14 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1132 history records